Re:CDC says U.S. gatherings of over 50 people should be put off
by tedunangst on Sunday March 15, 2020 @11:41PM
(#22589650)
When it turns out auto deaths drop, does that mean the shutdown goes on for ever? What will you say to the family of the first auto crash victim after the shutdown is lifted?
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Re:CDC says U.S. gatherings of over 50 people should be put off
by rsfern on Monday March 16, 2020 @12:32AM
(#22589975)
I do think it’s important to consider the pros and cons of any given policy, but I think this comparison is a bit extreme.
There are about 35k car crash deaths in the US each year [0].
I’ve seen estimates for total infection rate all over the map. Conservatively (?) if 30% of the US population is eventually infected and the fatality rate is 1%, that’s 1 million people, and basically two orders of magnitude larger for a comparable (?) time period. If we don’t do more than we currently are to limit transmission, these figures don’t seem that implausible.
Auto deaths are still a huge problem, but we can take more targeted action like improving transit coverage.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Motor_vehicle_fatality_rate_...