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A comment on Federal Reserve slashes interest rates to zero. Parent comment

Re:Federal Reserve slashes interest rates to zero by deelowe on Sunday March 15, 2020 @08:20PM (#22588274)
Didn't one model show over 100M?
[ Parent | on HN ]
Re:Federal Reserve slashes interest rates to zero by Amygaz on Sunday March 15, 2020 @09:10PM (#22588595)
No.

That would imply 100% infection, at a base reproduction rate of 15 (close to measles), and a mortality rate of 30% (close to Ebola).

If left unchecked covid-19 would infect 100-250 millions Americans. The R0 is 2.5-3. The average mortality rate is said to probably be closer to 1% rather the 3.4% previously advanced, so 1-2.5 millions deaths, which we will hopefully never reach if people follow the current social distancing and self-quarantine guidance.

[ Parent | on HN ]
Re:Federal Reserve slashes interest rates to zero by deelowe on Sunday March 15, 2020 @09:48PM (#22588898)
Thanks
[ Parent | on HN ]
Re:Federal Reserve slashes interest rates to zero by Amygaz on Sunday March 15, 2020 @09:09PM (#22588589)
No.

That would implies 100% infection, at a base reproduction rate 15 (close to measles), and a mortality of 30% (close to Ebola).

If left unchecked covid-19 would infect 100-250 millions Americans. The R0 is 2.5-3. The average mortality rate is said to probably be closer to 1% rather the 3.4% previously advanced, so 1-2.5 millions deaths, which we will hopefully never reach if people follow the current social distancing and self-quarantine guidance.

[ Parent | on HN ]