Re:Open letter from Italy to the international scientific co...
by bsaul on Sunday March 15, 2020 @04:13PM
(#22586323)
That would be for a homogeneous spread inside a country.
However if the epidemic spreads from region to region, you could reach a local herd immunity in the first regions infected way before seing the country-wide curve becoming linear.
But thanks, trying to find a counter-argument to your post made me realize a single-curve model probably doesn't make a lot of sense to try and understand accurately the spread of an epidemic.
However if the epidemic spreads from region to region, you could reach a local herd immunity in the first regions infected way before seing the country-wide curve becoming linear.
But thanks, trying to find a counter-argument to your post made me realize a single-curve model probably doesn't make a lot of sense to try and understand accurately the spread of an epidemic.