Re:Please poke holes in my Covid-19 math (SF Bay Area)
by chinathrow on Sunday March 15, 2020 @04:04PM
(#22586260)
> Lombardia was at ~200% capacity circa wednesday.
Source?
Mine is:
https://www.giornaledibrescia.it/italia-ed-estero/coronaviru...
Google Translate:
"«We have very few free places in intensive care, now we are in the order of 15 or 20 available. Every day we get someone new, tomorrow 3 more arrive and San Raffaele is creating an area with 14 seats which will be ready, however, in a week. Today we recover them by closing the operating rooms, where there are respirators that can also be used to support the breath »."
Re:Please poke holes in my Covid-19 math (SF Bay Area)
by baq on Sunday March 15, 2020 @05:58PM
(#22587190)
don't know about you but that sounds like way over designed capacity...
Re:Please poke holes in my Covid-19 math (SF Bay Area)
by chinathrow on Monday March 16, 2020 @05:27AM
(#22591222)
Sure if you look at "designed" capacity. I was looking at "current" capacity, which is all what matters in this situation.
Probably not unless you have popup / prefab hospitals.
> Have a look at the state of capacity in Italy: it's closed to maxed out with lots of improvised wards.
Italy is not "close to maxed out", it's way overcapacity. It might seem like it's at capacity if you count the total number of ICU beds in the entire country, but most of the cases for now are in the north, so the actual radio is way higher. Lombardia was at ~200% capacity circa wednesday.