Ask HN: Is UK government insane or genius?

Re:Ask HN: Is UK government insane or genius? by ajross on Saturday March 14, 2020 @09:10PM (#22580219)

> the expected incidence of cases that require medical care.

Among the general population!

Among people under 50, the best data we have is that the fraction needing ICU care is something like 0.2% (I think, I'd have to look it up again).

The intent is to quarantine the at-risk and let it propagate in the "safe". I genuinely think it's you who's failed to understand the plan. You're arguing against something that is not the stated UK policy.

[ Parent | on HN ]

Re:Ask HN: Is UK government insane or genius? by kohtatsu on Saturday March 14, 2020 @10:16PM (#22580618)

Thanks for being devil's advocate.

I too think it's too risky, FWIW. I read a while ago there might be permanent damage as well, but maybe that was hocus.

Edit: Business Insider reported HK doctors found some people have 20-30% reduced lung capacity after recovery: https://www.businessinsider.com/coronavirus-recovery-damage-... (n=12)

[ Parent | on HN ]

Re:Ask HN: Is UK government insane or genius? by lxxvii on Sunday March 15, 2020 @01:09AM (#22581462)

> Among people under 50, the best data we have is that the fraction needing ICU care is something like 0.2%

Any chance you remember where you found this statistic? I have been looking for any details on hospitalization rates by age range, but haven't had luck so far.

[ Parent | on HN ]

Re:Ask HN: Is UK government insane or genius? by TheCondor on Saturday March 14, 2020 @11:53PM (#22581110)

Do we actually have evidence that this quarantining is possible or working?

[ Parent | on HN ]