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A comment on Open letter from Italy to the international scientific community. Parent comment

Re:Open letter from Italy to the international scientific co... by csomar on Saturday March 14, 2020 @09:06PM (#22580203)
> Why on Earth is this a good model?

It's not but I guess it's the best they have right now.

Taiwan, Hong Kong, Japan and Singapore are still functioning and have "contained" the virus. The number of cases/deaths did not explode despite contracting the virus much earlier.

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Re:Open letter from Italy to the international scientific co... by datastoat on Sunday March 15, 2020 @05:25AM (#22582362)
It's good you put "contained" in quotes. Japan, Singapore, and Hong Kong are all (according to this plot [0]) showing exponential growth in the number of cases. It's a slower exponential than elsewhere, but it's still an exponential.

[0] https://www.ft.com/__origami/service/image/v2/images/raw/htt...

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Re:Open letter from Italy to the international scientific co... by Twixes on Sunday March 15, 2020 @09:01AM (#22583237)
Well, that's how these graphs tend to look like for a while for infectious diseases. All we can do at this point is reduce the growth factor so that doctors don't have to choose who gets to use lifesaving machinery and who dies like in Italy.
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