Re:How Bad Is the Coronavirus? Let’s Run the Numbers
by greedo on Saturday March 14, 2020 @04:54PM
(#22578593)
Do you mean a lower bound? If SK, which seems to be doing a relatively good job is experiencing a CFR of .6%, then countries performing worse should experience a higher CFT.
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Re:How Bad Is the Coronavirus? Let’s Run the Numbers
by tunesmith on Saturday March 14, 2020 @06:58PM
(#22579414)
0.6% is way out of date, as it was measured when many of the active cases were very early. At that time, I think I saw that deaths/cases was 0.6% and deaths/(deaths+recoveries) was 28.5%. As of today, deaths/cases is 0.9% and deaths/(deaths+recoveries) is about 9% . (Going by the numbers at worldometers.info)
Re:How Bad Is the Coronavirus? Let’s Run the Numbers
by bonzini on Saturday March 14, 2020 @05:17PM
(#22578776)
That's the upper bound on the fatality rate if it infected the whole population. In actuality not even Hubei had 0.1% of the population infected, so the numbers will be higher if it mostly infects older people (Italy), and lower if it mostly infects younger people (South Korea).