Italy and South Korea virus outbreaks reveal disparity in deaths and tactics

Re:Italy and South Korea virus outbreaks reveal disparity in... by RealityVoid on Thursday March 12, 2020 @05:22PM (#22561894)

But, these measures need to hold on for long enough, until all reservoirs are depleted. Relaxing the measures after the transmission rates decrease will only stop it temporarily, so it will flare right back up if it has a source that was missed.

Also, the lower the R factor, the faster measures can be relaxed. With an R0, if you want to guarantee putting out everything, you need to hold the measures for the longest possible lifetime of the disease. ( what's that? A month?)

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Re:Italy and South Korea virus outbreaks reveal disparity in... by greedo on Thursday March 12, 2020 @07:58PM (#22563353)

Flare up is my biggest concern; this is what the Spanish Flu did.

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Re:Italy and South Korea virus outbreaks reveal disparity in... by amluto on Thursday March 12, 2020 @05:28PM (#22561956)

I’m wondering what fraction of little kids already have it and are serving as essentially asymptotic vectors. Once a large enough fraction of little kids are immune or resistant, r0 may be permanently reduced.

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Re:Italy and South Korea virus outbreaks reveal disparity in... by chinathrow on Thursday March 12, 2020 @05:26PM (#22561938)

That's my thought as well. With having a vaccine like 12-18 months away at best, is there another strategy than just trying to eradicate it in a _massive_ concentrated worldwide effort?

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