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Re:S&P 500 triggers 15-minute trading halt for the second ti... by refurb on Thursday March 12, 2020 @02:14PM (#22559872)
Climate.

There was a theory that the virus doesn’t fare well in hot climates and that seems to be playing out.

A good example of this is Vietnam. Nearly all their cases have been in Hanoi which has quite temperate weather in the winter versus Ho Chi Minh City which is tropical all year around.

It’s not the only factor, but it does appear to have an impact.

Re:S&P 500 triggers 15-minute trading halt for the second ti... by danans on Thursday March 12, 2020 @05:03PM (#22561701)
It seems far too early to judge the degree to which warm weather mitigates this. There have been a growing number of cases in Australia and South America.

Also consider that in India, there is not only a massive population, but access to tests per capita is probably quite low. Furthermore, the background noise of other infectious diseases is higher there, so many of these cases may go unnoticed or just attributed to common ailments. Death by infectious disease, while tragic, is somewhat more normalized there, and it might be hard to convince a lot of people not to go about their daily lives.

Re:S&P 500 triggers 15-minute trading halt for the second ti... by sivakon on Thursday March 12, 2020 @08:29PM (#22563536)
People coming from overseas have to go through mandatory quanrantine in India. Air travel is restricted. A ship with Chinese travelers was halted near coastline as per WHO guidelines recently.
Re:S&P 500 triggers 15-minute trading halt for the second ti... by danans on Thursday March 12, 2020 @11:02PM (#22564344)
It would be very surprising if they quarantined in time or strictly enough to prevent the virus from entering in significant numbers. Even societies with highly centralized control structures (Iran, Japan) weren't able to keep it out. I doubt a decentralized country like India with huge amounts of human movement without and within could do it, just as the US and EU couldn't.
Re:S&P 500 triggers 15-minute trading halt for the second ti... by pkaye on Thursday March 12, 2020 @07:54PM (#22563321)
India also has a young population.
Re:S&P 500 triggers 15-minute trading halt for the second ti... by danans on Thursday March 12, 2020 @10:58PM (#22564304)
That would reduce the death rate, note the infection rate.
Re:S&P 500 triggers 15-minute trading halt for the second ti... by stjohnswarts on Friday March 13, 2020 @12:03AM (#22564607)
How do they know the infection rate unless they are randomly sampling and I haven't read of any country doing anything close to that other than Korea, and it wasn't all the random.
Re:S&P 500 triggers 15-minute trading halt for the second ti... by danans on Friday March 13, 2020 @10:33AM (#22567540)
Data from the China CDC shows the mortality rate (not the infection rate) is strongly correlated with age, especially above the age of 50.

https://www.statista.com/statistics/1099662/china-wuhan-coro...

Re:S&P 500 triggers 15-minute trading halt for the second ti... by saberience on Thursday March 12, 2020 @04:48PM (#22561560)
Again. Maybe climate has an "impact" but the size of the numbers makes no sense. Greece isn't exactly a cold place right now, it's massively smaller than India and yet has 30% more coronavirus cases.

India: 1.3B population and right next to China. Greece 10M population and no close land links to China.

These numbers don't pass the common sense test.

Re:S&P 500 triggers 15-minute trading halt for the second ti... by sivakon on Thursday March 12, 2020 @08:32PM (#22563562)
Right next China is a weak argument. There is an impossibly terrain dividing India and China called Himalayas. Other means of transport are restricted from the very beginning.
Re:S&P 500 triggers 15-minute trading halt for the second ti... by refurb on Thursday March 12, 2020 @08:08PM (#22563416)
Agreed that the impact of climate is a big question mark.

In terms of Greece, it's more like Japan or China than a tropical country.