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A comment on U.S. will suspend all travel from Europe for 30 days. Parent comment

Re:U.S. will suspend all travel from Europe for 30 days by ebiester on Thursday March 12, 2020 @09:55AM (#22556851)
A 12% CFR is overstating it, but also because we won't be counting the heart attacks that weren't treated, the chemo and radiation therapy that was postponed, and the other health effects.

I think the true measure will be the year over year total mortality.

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Re:U.S. will suspend all travel from Europe for 30 days by droithomme on Thursday March 12, 2020 @08:40PM (#22563608)
> 12% CFR is overstating it

If we overload our hospitals then CFR will go towards the number of cases that require hospitalization. Which is around 20%. Italy is currently far over hospital capacity and has a CFR today of 8% and rising.

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Re:U.S. will suspend all travel from Europe for 30 days by hcknwscommenter on Thursday March 12, 2020 @07:48PM (#22563275)
If our health systems are not overwhelmed, sure definitely 12% is overstating it. If they are, look out!
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