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A comment on U.S. will suspend all travel from Europe for 30 days. Parent comment

Re:U.S. will suspend all travel from Europe for 30 days by TheGallopedHigh on Thursday March 12, 2020 @03:46AM (#22554654)
You’re describing a typical SIR model (susceptible infected recovered) which can be solved analytically. You can see the dependence on all those points you mentioned above.

Note this is a “mean-field” model (everyone evenly mixed together) so take it with a grain of salt...

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Re:U.S. will suspend all travel from Europe for 30 days by Gibbon1 on Thursday March 12, 2020 @04:00AM (#22554704)
That's what I was trying to do. I thought it would be interesting to build one and play with it. The issue with it being a mean model vs a mixes contact model noted.
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Re:U.S. will suspend all travel from Europe for 30 days by TheGallopedHigh on Friday March 13, 2020 @09:37AM (#22567131)
Both of these models are well studied and compared in the literature
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