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A comment on San Francisco bans public events holding more than 1,000 people. Parent comment

Re:San Francisco bans public events holding more than 1,000 ... by hcknwscommenter on Wednesday March 11, 2020 @06:12PM (#22551370)
The spread is not being stopped. It is being slowed down. Huge difference. Slowed down is still very good and a very good goal for us, but the opportunity to "stop" COVID-19 has passed in the U.S. and EU.
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Re:San Francisco bans public events holding more than 1,000 ... by learc83 on Wednesday March 11, 2020 @06:21PM (#22551447)
The number of active cases is down from the peak China. If it continued like this without imported cases the virus would die out as each new infection infects fewer than 1 other person.
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Re:San Francisco bans public events holding more than 1,000 ... by hcknwscommenter on Wednesday March 11, 2020 @06:40PM (#22551600)
" each new infection infects fewer than 1 other person"

That is quite an assumption. We shall see, I hope you are right.

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Re:San Francisco bans public events holding more than 1,000 ... by learc83 on Thursday March 12, 2020 @09:15AM (#22556436)
Well the number of active cases in China is dropping every day, so it's not an assumption, it's just math.
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Re:San Francisco bans public events holding more than 1,000 ... by hcknwscommenter on Friday March 13, 2020 @12:41AM (#22564786)
The number of active known and reported cases appears to be dropping. There are three assumptions in that sentence.
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Re:San Francisco bans public events holding more than 1,000 ... by learc83 on Friday March 13, 2020 @09:18AM (#22567008)
China is still testing aggressively. If the number of active cases were expanding, much less expanding exponentially, the number of reported cases would be more than a handful per day.

It's a pretty good assumption to make.

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