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A comment on San Francisco bans public events holding more than 1,000 people. Parent comment

Re:San Francisco bans public events holding more than 1,000 ... by hcknwscommenter on Wednesday March 11, 2020 @06:40PM (#22551600)
" each new infection infects fewer than 1 other person"

That is quite an assumption. We shall see, I hope you are right.

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Re:San Francisco bans public events holding more than 1,000 ... by learc83 on Thursday March 12, 2020 @09:15AM (#22556436)
Well the number of active cases in China is dropping every day, so it's not an assumption, it's just math.
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Re:San Francisco bans public events holding more than 1,000 ... by hcknwscommenter on Friday March 13, 2020 @12:41AM (#22564786)
The number of active known and reported cases appears to be dropping. There are three assumptions in that sentence.
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Re:San Francisco bans public events holding more than 1,000 ... by learc83 on Friday March 13, 2020 @09:18AM (#22567008)
China is still testing aggressively. If the number of active cases were expanding, much less expanding exponentially, the number of reported cases would be more than a handful per day.

It's a pretty good assumption to make.

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