Re:Covid-19 is now officially a pandemic, WHO says
by headmelted on Wednesday March 11, 2020 @02:58PM
(#22549109)
About 240x as fatal.
The mortality rate is presently 6.01% and fluctuating, making this virus about twice as deadly as the Spanish Flu.
Re:Covid-19 is now officially a pandemic, WHO says
by zuminator on Wednesday March 11, 2020 @03:10PM
(#22549286)
You've claimed this three times already. Do you have a substantiating link? Furthermore, saying "six point oh one percent" instead of just "approximately six percent" gives a false air of precision that could not possibly hold -- even you admit the estimate is still in flux.
Re:Covid-19 is now officially a pandemic, WHO says
by headmelted on Wednesday March 11, 2020 @06:52PM
(#22551664)
At the risk of compounding the problem of having posted this in several places, copying into this reply:
Taking Johns Hopkins numbers (at time of me writing this):
125,108 confirmed cases 4594 deaths 66,682 recoveries 71,276 outcomes 4,594 / 71,276 = 6.45% have died (deaths / outcomes)
The table in the "comparisons to other pandemics and epidemics" section gives a point estimate for the case fatality rate of 0.03%. If we assume that the final rate for covid-19 is somewhere in the 1-2% range that's what I last heard, that would mean that "10X as fatal" is an understatement - more like 30-70x as fatal.