Re:Italy is extending its coronavirus quarantine measures to...
by airstrike on Tuesday March 10, 2020 @12:51PM
(#22537095)
> We could have a vaccine before the next flu season in the northern hemisphere.
That's quite unlikely. We're looking at 12-18 months if everything goes perfectly according to plan and we get it right on the first try.
> nor acts as effectively as China
Only if you take China's numbers at face value, which nobody really seems keen on doing.
We might ballpark the number of global deaths – in the optimistic case† at between 20,000 and 30,000 souls. Not a global tragedy, on a scale of the recent Ebola outbreak, but warranting much more drastic action.
There's a huge sense of urgency. We could have a vaccine before the next flu season in the northern hemisphere.
† assuming not every country acts quickly when the time comes nor acts as effectively as China