Re:Italy is extending its coronavirus quarantine measures to...
by tunesmith on Monday March 09, 2020 @07:09PM
(#22530938)
You have to have number for each of:
(chance of contracting virus) * (chance of contracting disease from virus) * (chance of fatality from disease).
The first is dependent on containment efforts. The second is not 100%. The third is also partly dependent on containment efforts, as fatality goes up if hospitals get overwhelmed.
I don't see how you get "we're all going to get this" when China and South Korea are already reporting decreases in daily cases.
(chance of contracting virus) * (chance of contracting disease from virus) * (chance of fatality from disease).
The first is dependent on containment efforts. The second is not 100%. The third is also partly dependent on containment efforts, as fatality goes up if hospitals get overwhelmed.
I don't see how you get "we're all going to get this" when China and South Korea are already reporting decreases in daily cases.