Re:Why we need worst-case thinking to prevent pandemics
by est31 on Sunday March 08, 2020 @03:21AM
(#22516783)
Regardless where you put your colony to, if you keep up a transportation system to that colony and back, you end up enabling spread of the disease. Coronavirus only spread so quickly because of airplane travel. Had we cancelled all airplane, train and ship traffic to and from China early enough, the virus wouldn't have spread as quickly. If in the future we have an intergalactic society with FTL travel, and one colony discovers an ancient virus that kills everyone, the virus will spread with speeds faster than light, because that's our underlying travel method.
To meet threats like coronavirus, you don't need a different planet. Any remote island would do, like easter island, as long as you shut down traffic soon enough.
Re:Why we need worst-case thinking to prevent pandemics
by hinkley on Sunday March 08, 2020 @03:33AM
(#22516810)
New transportation keeps reducing the time delays for trips, but if you’re talking other planets, how fast do you think we can get? I expect a lull.
Of course if panspermia turns out to be true, we could discover some new branch of life that medicine or mammalian immune systems struggle to identify, but which likes to chew on bones or collagen, turning us all into jello.
Re:Why we need worst-case thinking to prevent pandemics
by WalterBright on Sunday March 08, 2020 @03:18AM
(#22516778)
I generally agree, but a self-sustaining moon colony is far more practical, assuming water can be found there:
1. plenty of solar power
2. close to earth
3. easy to launch out of its gravity well
4. lunar base technology can be iterated far more rapidly
Re:Why we need worst-case thinking to prevent pandemics
by saagarjha on Sunday March 08, 2020 @03:16AM
(#22516771)
Making a reasonable-sized, sustainable colony on Mars would arguably be significantly more work than considering and planning for "large-scale, exponential, and extinction-level events".
At a grander level, this is what Elon Musk, SpaceX, and other related endeavors are all about.
Humans are terrible at considering and planning for large-scale, exponential, and extinction-level events ala pandemics, nuclear holocaust, and the long term effects of climate change.
The only real way to ensure that we don't drive ourselves extinct as a society (either purposefully or accidentally) is to create a backup copy of society, just like you would do for any other extremely valuable piece of information.
Onward to Mars!