News for hackers. Stuff that matters.

A comment on Johns Hopkins CSSE Covid-19 Global Case Dashboard. Parent comment

Re:Johns Hopkins CSSE Covid-19 Global Case Dashboard by cm2187 on Friday March 06, 2020 @12:42PM (#22505570)
You are right but unfortunately almost everyone calculates the mortality rate based on confirmed cases alone, and that leads to a gross over-estimation of the dangerosity of this virus. So these visualisations are still kind of misleading in a way.
[ Parent | on HN ]
Re:Johns Hopkins CSSE Covid-19 Global Case Dashboard by JoeAltmaier on Friday March 06, 2020 @12:46PM (#22505608)
Isn't that true of all flu viruses, every year? Meaning this measure is still valid to compare with other flu epidemics.

So that leaves this one at 10X or more fatalities, however you calculate it.

[ Parent | on HN ]
Re:Johns Hopkins CSSE Covid-19 Global Case Dashboard by cm2187 on Friday March 06, 2020 @12:56PM (#22505682)
I am not sure. Looking at the CDC website [1], it looks like they extrapolate cases for the flu. They seem to estimate that roughly half of the people contaminated with the flu do not see a doctor (I would have guessed the numbers would be even lower, I had the flu a couple of times, it didn't even cross my mind to see a doctor).

[1] https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/how-cdc-estimates.htm

[ Parent | on HN ]
Re:Johns Hopkins CSSE Covid-19 Global Case Dashboard by bobbles on Friday March 06, 2020 @12:45PM (#22505602)
Yeah but if every virus is modelled this way then the data is representative...
[ Parent | on HN ]