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A comment on Get Real: no drug or vaccine will avoid a very big coronavirus epidemic. Parent comment

Re:Get Real: no drug or vaccine will avoid a very big corona... by chrisco255 on Wednesday March 04, 2020 @12:29PM (#22485702)
It's 1-2 orders of magnitude more deadly than the flu. Some estimates are between 2 and 4% fatality rate for the Covid-19. Flu is 0.1%.

That fatality rate average masks that it is far deadlier for the elderly and high risk patients, with as much as 10-20% fatality rate for that demographic.

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Re:Get Real: no drug or vaccine will avoid a very big corona... by the_af on Wednesday March 04, 2020 @12:31PM (#22485722)
Thanks for the reply. What is the fatality rate among the elderly and high risk patients for seasonal flu? (say, in the US if there are no worldwide statistics).

I understand the real problem with any flu-like disease is precisely with the elderly and high risk patients. Usually, of course there are always cases of healthy people who die from a flu.

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Re:Get Real: no drug or vaccine will avoid a very big corona... by tomtheelder on Wednesday March 04, 2020 @01:02PM (#22486053)
Somewhere around 1%. The 10x multiplier on fatality rate seems to be fairly consistent across age groups. Note that the CFR for this virus is still largely unknown, and is vastly different in different regions.

https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/2018-2019.html

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Re:Get Real: no drug or vaccine will avoid a very big corona... by eric-hu on Wednesday March 04, 2020 @12:58PM (#22486015)
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/coronavirus-age-se...

These are worldwide statistics. Breakdown is by age, but I don't recall if there's other categories.

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Re:Get Real: no drug or vaccine will avoid a very big corona... by anthonypasq on Wednesday March 04, 2020 @02:33PM (#22487126)
you are getting that number by dividing reported infections by reported deaths.

The reported infections number is not accurate. Its a major underestimate of the actual number of infected

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