Re:Coronavirus: an email to my family
by m0zg on Tuesday March 03, 2020 @03:11AM
(#22472763)
Sounds about right. But that's not "we're all gonna die" estimate of 5x-10x.
[ Parent
| on HN ]
Yes it is. 0.5-1.6% means the coronavirus is 5x-16x deadlier than the flu (0.1%)
So the fatality, at the upper end of the range, would be comparable to the 1918 pandemic flu (estimated at 2.04%: https://institutefordiseasemodeling.github.io/nCoV-public/an...)
Do you have grandparents? Or elderly parents? Or know anyone over the age of 60-70 that you care about? Or anyone with a compromised immunological system?
If yes to any of these questions you should at least empathise that maybe they might suffer from a new and unknown disease that is potentially deadly to them.
Not everyone is going to die but a lot of people will feel the effects of this uncontained epidemic in their personal lives, don't you care about that?