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Re:Tokyo Olympics “looking at a cancellation” if coronavirus... by xbmcuser on Wednesday February 26, 2020 @12:48AM (#22420630)
I think many people here on hackernews are being stupid that they are healthy adults so they don't need to worry. Even if you don't die you will be out of the work force for 2-3 weeks either because you are sick or quarantined. You could pass the infection to your children, parents Grand parents who might not be able to fight off the infection and die. Many people get flu vaccines or over the years have built up some immunity. This virus is new so no one has any immunity most people will get infected only some might die but the many that get sick will be out of the work force. You guys are aware of tech productions shortages but a lot of other goods like garments we wear come from China. If they are unable to start back up soon world will be facing shortages of many other items prices will start going up soon. Other countries have started hitting capacity production for garments as China is out and they still can't meet the demand.
Re:Tokyo Olympics “looking at a cancellation” if coronavirus... by hurrdurr2 on Wednesday February 26, 2020 @01:10AM (#22420730)
Not to mention the virus is mutating and is now killing healthy people in their twenties in Hubei (if not at least serious disease requiring mechanical ventilation and supplemental oxygen). Also there is evidence the HIV drugs are no longer working due to the virus developing resistance.

Those of you thinking "oh I'm a healthy young person I'm just gonna carry on doing what I'm doing" is gonna be in for a rude awakening.

Re:Tokyo Olympics “looking at a cancellation” if coronavirus... by mda on Wednesday February 26, 2020 @11:37AM (#22424544)
Please stop spreading speculation, there is absolutely no evidence of a more deadly mutated version of virus.
Re:Tokyo Olympics “looking at a cancellation” if coronavirus... by hurrdurr2 on Wednesday February 26, 2020 @04:02PM (#22427290)
Re:Tokyo Olympics “looking at a cancellation” if coronavirus... by mda on Wednesday February 26, 2020 @04:12PM (#22427372)
Speculation, no evidence.
Re:Tokyo Olympics “looking at a cancellation” if coronavirus... by virgilp on Wednesday February 26, 2020 @08:26AM (#22422660)
My understanding was that this virus has a molecular proofreading system that reduces its mutation rate, and makes it unlikely to develop a more deadly strain - was this dispelled in any way?

Can't find exactly where I read it but it's e.g. mentioned here: https://www.statnews.com/2020/02/04/two-scenarios-if-new-cor...

Re:Tokyo Olympics “looking at a cancellation” if coronavirus... by bencollier49 on Wednesday February 26, 2020 @01:30AM (#22420838)
Sources?
Re:Tokyo Olympics “looking at a cancellation” if coronavirus... by hurrdurr2 on Wednesday February 26, 2020 @01:34AM (#22420855)
Re:Tokyo Olympics “looking at a cancellation” if coronavirus... by retsibsi on Wednesday February 26, 2020 @05:15AM (#22421806)
Maybe I'm just looking for comfort, but this passage (from your first link) seems like a big logical leap to me:

> The fact that patients not displaying symptoms are able to transmit the coronavirus indicates something alarming. As typically such respiratory viruses are normally transmitted thru the mouth via coughing in which minute droplets are exposed or thru the nose when the nasal fluids are released through sneezing or blowing of the nose.

> If a person is not showing any symptoms, then the only possible means is through the exhaled air of the infected individual, which implies that the virus is an extremely potent airborne pathogen.

People who aren't sick still cough/sneeze/blow their nose sometimes. (Especially so in the case of people with allergies, but everyone does it a bit.)

And surely people could transmit the disease through saliva (or other fluids) spread via their hands. People touch their face, pick their teeth, eat with their hands, pick their nose, bite their nails, etc. etc.

Then there is the possibility of transmission through shared meals, or even inadequately washed cutlery etc.

Don't get me wrong, asymptomatic spread is scary, and it probably provides some evidence in favour of airborne transmission. But I don't see how they can make such an absolute statement, when there seem to be other available explanations.

Re:Tokyo Olympics “looking at a cancellation” if coronavirus... by hurrdurr2 on Wednesday February 26, 2020 @04:05PM (#22427314)
Re:Tokyo Olympics “looking at a cancellation” if coronavirus... by retsibsi on Wednesday February 26, 2020 @08:02PM (#22429334)
Interesting article, but what point are you making by posting it without comment? It doesn't confirm airborne transmission, unless that is implied by background knowledge I'm missing (?). And it certainly doesn't tell me anything about the logic of the passage I quoted, so I remain sceptical about that other article's quality.
Re:Tokyo Olympics “looking at a cancellation” if coronavirus... by hurrdurr2 on Wednesday February 26, 2020 @11:03PM (#22430334)
How do you expect asymptomatic infected individuals to spread the virus? The viral load is highest in the nose, suggesting that they can infect others by simply breathing in their vicinity. This is different from droplet transmission when people are coughing/sneezing.
Re:Tokyo Olympics “looking at a cancellation” if coronavirus... by retsibsi on Thursday February 27, 2020 @12:15AM (#22430728)
> This is different from droplet transmission when people are coughing/sneezing.

I know, and I thought that was what we were discussing: how strong is the evidence for airborne transmission.

> How do you expect asymptomatic infected individuals to spread the virus?

I gave a bunch of possibilities in my previous reply.

> The viral load is highest in the nose

Higher in the nose than the throat, according to the Medpagetoday article, but that doesn't imply it is absent from the throat -- rather the opposite, otherwise they would have phrased it differently. And people do pick and blow their noses, and sneeze occasionally even when healthy, so it's not like breathing is the only possible route out of the nose. Not to mention the connectedness of nose and throat, which makes it hard for me to imagine a virus being present in the nose but reliably absent from saliva.

I'm not arguing that airborne transmission is unlikely -- I don't know, and am trying to form an opinion. Which is why I'm questioning the argument that it is definitely happening, and responsible for all asymptomatic contagion: it seems overstated to me, but if I'm missing key background facts, I'd like to learn them.

Re:Tokyo Olympics “looking at a cancellation” if coronavirus... by xbmcuser on Thursday February 27, 2020 @02:28AM (#22431404)
With the spread specially being high in enclosed spaces like the churches in Korea, Singapore and the cruise ship in Japan. I do think either it is airborne or the virus can live outside the human body longer compared to other flu viruses. Most of the high spread patterns outside china where we have information is in enclosed spaces like churches or the cruise ship.
Re:Tokyo Olympics “looking at a cancellation” if coronavirus... by hurrdurr2 on Thursday February 27, 2020 @12:37AM (#22430812)
https://www.davisenterprise.com/local-news/newly-diagnosed-c...

Treatment protocols at UCD Medical Center mentions airborne precautions after the patient tested positive.

Airborne transmission was also seen in China.

Re:Tokyo Olympics “looking at a cancellation” if coronavirus... by hurrdurr2 on Thursday February 27, 2020 @12:40AM (#22430829)
Re:Tokyo Olympics “looking at a cancellation” if coronavirus... by loblollyboy on Wednesday February 26, 2020 @01:25AM (#22420806)
This, unfortunately
Re:Tokyo Olympics “looking at a cancellation” if coronavirus... by hurrdurr2 on Wednesday February 26, 2020 @01:29AM (#22420832)
A 25 year old nurse just passed away in Iran battling the virus.

https://mobile.twitter.com/farnazfassihi/status/123245395758...