Re:Donald Knuth was framed
by bumby on Monday February 24, 2020 @04:07PM
(#22408457)
I have no problem with making assumptions but it would hopefully be grounded in a domain specific understanding.
If you read some of the replies, you’ll see one of the fixes involved fighter escorts. This is probably based on an assumption that fighters contributed to the downing of aircraft. These would probably have a different shot distribution than anti aircraft artillery.
Not to belabor the point, but jumping to conclusions on assumptions is exactly what good root cause analysis guards us against. A random distribution may be reasonable for an uninitiated statistician but I’m not sure one with some domain background in the problem would make the same assumptions.
If you read some of the replies, you’ll see one of the fixes involved fighter escorts. This is probably based on an assumption that fighters contributed to the downing of aircraft. These would probably have a different shot distribution than anti aircraft artillery.
Not to belabor the point, but jumping to conclusions on assumptions is exactly what good root cause analysis guards us against. A random distribution may be reasonable for an uninitiated statistician but I’m not sure one with some domain background in the problem would make the same assumptions.