By year five, you’re generating $1100 of income with $5000 of capital invested (that will require $1000 each year to keep up).
You’re _way_ better off in year one here, so it seems the GAAP approach is actually showing the decline accurately. This isn’t a growing startup, it’s a startup needing more equipment to make the same money each year.
(Imagining a bottom pricing scenario, while keeping a positive cashflow.)
Good point. At year 6 this logic breaks down. (Then again, no longer a 'startup' at that point.) Better hope the replacement equipment is double worth it's money. :)
Should make some spreadsheets with more scenarios.
External perception of business health (5x better service!) unintuitively is masking the the accounting reality here (worsening returns).
(Now look at all these cloud services giving better services and pricing every year, seemingly very healthy...) :)
Just as as microcosm, how many YC backed companies have reached profitability? Only two have gone public - DropBox and PagerDuty.
Let's say your income is 1100$ each year.
Your profit, according to accounting, would be 900$ for the first year, counting only $200 of the investment, then for the following years you'll see a profit of $700, $500, $300, and $100, as the investments accumulate. Oh no! A downward trend!
The cash flow, however, will simply show $100 profit each year.
Which one is more representative of the growing business with recurring investments?