Re:New COVID-19 cases reported across Japan
by allovernow on Tuesday February 18, 2020 @02:08PM
(#22359174)
I read the study that the 24 day timeline comes from - it's a rather uncertain worst case scenario. IIRC it comes from a single case report and it's more likely there's a gap in the transmission path that makes the incubation period look longer than it is.
A more recent study from Chinese researchers (so I don't know how much it can be trusted) studied 1099 infections and reported a more reassuring mean incubation period of 3 days.
Also 14 days might be too low an estimate, it might actually take up to 24 days for symptoms to appear: https://www.businessinsider.com/wuhan-coronavirus-symptoms-2...