Is the US military broadcasting strength? Probably. That would be consistent with its history.
However. That doesn't mean they know. It only means they are in the best position to make the claim. No one does misinformation as good as the NSA, CIA, etc. does.
The two things are independent.
That's a good point I hadn't considered.
Best to do both.
See my previous comment on the topic https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=21860860
I found out later this is a rare mirage that occurs when a thermal inversion causes light on the horizon to bend.[0]
if this occurred at night and those mountain peaks were replaced with something like car head lights, I may have walked off that mountain as a UFO believer. I’m not saying this explains away all the UFO sightings. Only suggesting that there could be a lot rational, yet obscure, explanations that haven’t been considered.
I believe they exist because of the videos and statements. I believe they're man made for the reason I stated above.
>What's your guess on how the boys filled that gap?
That's a lot harder to answer. The short version is, I have no clue. We could speculate forever. We do know that stealth technology existed for years before the public was informed, as one example of many. And we know that agencies like DARPA and programs like Skunk Works exist and are extremely well funded specifically to develop new technologies for military use. I submit that we do not know about every technology these sorts of entities have created. How far those technologies go? Man, I'd really love to know! I'm hopeful these videos are a glimpse of that.
One of these is not like the others.
Why do you think it's less plausible that humans have this technology than any other intelligent entity? There's no real reason to believe there's a sharp line between "human" and "other" capabilities. If the alternative is literally aliens, it's not a large stretch to imagine that once you've had the right insight, a Mach effect drive or something similar is possible.
The part of that story that's harder to believe is that we could have successfully kept it hidden this long.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CnIG-i2WCfg
https://podscribe.app/feeds/http-joeroganexpjoeroganlibsynpr...
"the way the system actually works is when you see something on the radar and you designate it as your primary target all the other sensors will look at that point so it's everything is kind of sink together so he picks up a hit on his radar and he goes to lock it up because I watched all the tapes he goes to lock it up and immediately the radar can tell it gets signals back that it's being jammed
► 00:20:44
so in technically jamming is an act of War it starts jamming the radar goes into a jam extrapolate a bunch of stuff happens on the scope"
- there's some communicative intelligence involved with the craft(s), that we've communicated with in a way that leads us to think they are harmless (despite radar jamming antics.) in a best case scenario, we've been given guarantees of safety as well as sufficient explanation and demonstration to consider that guarantee credible.
- we've seen sufficient examples of these in history to conclude that if harm was meant, it would have been dealt by now
- the crafts themselves have given indications of any game theoretic elements which would lead to harm. for example, perhaps they've communicated (perhaps indirectly through escalation and deescalation) what areas of engagement or human action will lead to escalation and which won't, and have done so consistently
i'm leaning towards a combination of the second and the third. there's no reason to believe these craft are new phenomena, but likely evaded sufficient detection to be accepted as real until the last several decades. if you assume the technology involved in these are far beyond our own, then it's also fair to assume that any capacity for harm from these has been ever-present and existential in scope since humanity first began. and yet, here we are. so it doesn't take a huge leap of logic to conclude that perhaps these are harmless, modulo any major disruptions in say the threat of humanity to itself or to other parts of the galaxy.
"Hey, we think the Chinese or Russians may have something new. It's imperative that all unidentifiable flying craft are reported."
My personal theory is that the US knows exactly what these objects are because they built them. I don't believe the US military would've ever commented if they weren't fully aware of the nature of these objects. From a military strategy point of view, that's equivalent to broadcasting a weakness.
Instead, I believe the US military is broadcasting a strength. A sort of disclosure of capability without any real disclosure. The release of these videos, and the accompanying comments from military personnel, in my opinion, is a warning to other nations.