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A comment on Model built by researchers suggests coronavirus outbreak began in November. Parent comment

Re:Model built by researchers suggests coronavirus outbreak ... by jpdus on Monday February 10, 2020 @07:27AM (#22288497)
N. Taleb wrote a very good note [1] on why conventional risk-benefit considerations don't apply in the case of an unknown contagion like NCov19 - the comparison to the seasonal flu is not helpful in these cases (thin-tailed risks vs fat-tailed risks which are an existential threat on a long-enough timeline).

[1] https://www.academia.edu/41743064/Systemic_Risk_of_Pandemic_...

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Re:Model built by researchers suggests coronavirus outbreak ... by gdubs on Monday February 10, 2020 @12:38PM (#22291300)
Really good read, thanks. Tl;dr, Taleb et al think extraordinary measures to reduce transportation flow can be very effective and that policy makers shouldn’t shy away from employing them when facing a viral outbreak of unknown tenacity.
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