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A comment on The Wuhan Virus.

Re:The Wuhan Virus by mech1234 on Monday January 27, 2020 @08:51AM (#22159156)
From the scattered information I have read, the infection has a very long dormant period (2 weeks), during which it may be contagious, and a high R_0 value of at least about 2.0. The R_0 value states how many people will catch the virus from an existing infected person.

These two factors together are scary. I am extremely interested in seeing better data though.

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Re:The Wuhan Virus by bjoyx on Monday January 27, 2020 @09:11AM (#22159343)
Higher than 2.0

"The mean estimate of R0 for the 2019-nCoV ranges from 3.30 (95%CI: 2.73-3.96) to 5.47 (95%CI: 4.16-7.10), and significantly larger than 1. Our findings indicate the potential of 2019-nCoV to cause outbreaks."

https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.01.23.916395v1

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Re:The Wuhan Virus by binaryorganic on Monday January 27, 2020 @09:29AM (#22159511)
Preprint and not peer reviewed. The WHO had it at 1.4-2.5 a few days ago.

https://www.who.int/news-room/detail/23-01-2020-statement-on...

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Re:The Wuhan Virus by bjoyx on Monday January 27, 2020 @10:05AM (#22159907)
Earlier measurements are likely to be biased downward:

https://www.academia.edu/41743064/Systemic_Risk_of_Pandemic_...

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Re:The Wuhan Virus by miketery on Monday January 27, 2020 @10:04AM (#22159885)
Dormant period is up to 2 weeks - not necessarily 2 weeks.
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Re:The Wuhan Virus by meristem on Monday January 27, 2020 @12:48PM (#22161839)
Shortest incubation period 1 day, longest 14 days, current average as of Jan 26 2020 was 10 days of incubation.
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