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Re:NOAA Satellites Helped Save a Record 421 Lives in 2019 by munificent on Thursday January 23, 2020 @12:33PM (#22129602)
Risk compensation [0] has been studied and gets a lot of press because it tickles that combination of psychology + counter-intuitive result + play into narrative that people suck.

As far as I know, though, most modern studies show that while there is some amount of risk compensation (people engage in riskier behavior after adopting a safety apparatus), the compensation is less than the benefit of the safety measure.

With beacons in particular, a potential compounding factor is that many people may not have gone out into the wilderness at all before beacons became available. So maybe there is a net increase in beacon usage but it could be because of an even greater increase in outdoor participation.

I think it's a net good for people to spend time in the outdoors, both for them personally and because it encourages society as a whole to prioritize preserving the environment. So if that results in more people needing to be rescued, it may still be worth it.

[0]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Risk_compensation

Re:NOAA Satellites Helped Save a Record 421 Lives in 2019 by tialaramex on Thursday January 23, 2020 @01:45PM (#22130399)
Risk Compensation has its worst effects when the prior risk itself is concealed by the technology. IIRC anti-lock braking doesn't drive up accident rates for those who grew up with it (all cars they drive have ABS, that's just how cars work as far as they're concerned) but it did for those for whom it just made loss of control mysteriously vanish in their new car. They would think "I guess I'm just good at driving" and engage in behaviour which the car was now compensating for with ABS, not realising that this mean they were outside the safe performance envelope.

AEB deliberately is a scary experience to prevent this mistake. If your car's AEB triggers you'll be suddenly and violently brought to a complete halt in order that the feeling is "Oh shit, I fucked up, is everybody OK?" not "Wow I'm a great driver".

With a beacon the experience is likewise not great. It's not "Activate beacon, rescuers magically teleport in and save the day". There's zero real feedback, so most people will be worried that it hasn't been effective, nobody is coming. After an hour, or two, or more, rescuers may show up looking for you. That's a long time to be lost or injured in the middle of nowhere.

Re:NOAA Satellites Helped Save a Record 421 Lives in 2019 by myself248 on Friday January 24, 2020 @12:05PM (#22140142)
> There's zero real feedback

That's why Return Link Messages in the Galileo network are so interesting. Basically, there's a super low bandwidth message channel embedded in the GNSS data stream. Its sole purpose is to tell beacons "We saw your beacon and we're responding to it".

Re:NOAA Satellites Helped Save a Record 421 Lives in 2019 by PopeDotNinja on Thursday January 23, 2020 @02:48PM (#22131098)
I certainly do things now that I wouldn't have done before having ba smartphone. The most common thing is driving into the middle of nowhere without a backup plan. Usually it's fine. Occasionally I get stupid lost. One time I got stuck in mud with no cell phone reception, so I walked to a random person's house, knocked on the door, and asked for help.