to choose a framework look at all that are being used and recommended.
for every recommended framework there are a dozen that remain in obscurity.
that should narrow it down to a dozen or so. look at each and pick on you like the most by whatever metric you prefer. it does't matter.
keep using that same framework as long as you are happy with it.
if you are able to stick with the same framework for a few years you made good choice.
as for svelte, one metric is the stateofjs survey, which lists svelte as one of the top 6 frameworks.
it was added to the survey last year which shows a significant amount of interest. let's see if that is still true next year.
https://2019.stateofjs.com/front-end-frameworks/
my own choice, aurelia, which i picked a few years ago, is the 3rd most write-in choice. it has a healthy community and active development. and i see no need to change for the forseeable future. it doesn't need to be the next big thing.
Svelte has a lot of interest, but it also has a very long way to go against a popular, 6 year old project.
Then once some big "used in production by NYT/x/y/z" hits, a premier conference talk, then things explode with everyone virtue-signaling how they use the modern/best stack, floods of article/blogs are posted about how they switched over before you did, and the FOMO cargo cult bandwagon rocketships.
Svelte does look legit, but it is better to not buy into the JS virtue culture.
> to commit to Svelte, it seems like it will be the "next big thing" in the JS world
How long does it usually take? In the JS world? Serious question as I am not in the JS world but reading HN/Reddit I would believe that things change quite fast. Someone told me over 1 year ago Svelte would be the next big thing and I see ‘no-one’ using it besides some hardcore enthusiasts; it is even hardly ever mentioned here or on Reddit; if it was a the next big thing, I think it would be?
Sorry for being uninformed, I am just curious.