Re:Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions? (2010)
by HeWhoLurksLate on Thursday January 02, 2020 @06:55PM
(#21941365)
I'm going to go out on a limb and say 2035 at the earliest for full self-driving partly because A) software engineers never feeling quite done, B) the underlying software, firmware, and hardware won't be proveably safe enough and C) because something political will make self-driving EV's much more difficult.
My guess is full self driving on high ways by 2030 with some semi-autonomous trucks. Removing a driver won’t happen until 2040-50.