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Re:What Will Happen in the 2020s by NeedMoreTea on Wednesday January 01, 2020 @01:39PM (#21929639)
Not to me. Soviet Union's fall was a very unique set of events, some unique to the time and sweep of history, some just plain unique. It was a combination of the right leaders, Chernobyl, fallout from WW2 divisions such as the Baltic States Molotov Pact protests, and Solidarity and Lech Walesa in Poland, then the right chain of events over a decade.

Many of those Soviet Republics were very reluctant participants, forcibly occupied with underlying resentment going back centuries in a couple of cases, to WW2 in others.

There seem very few parallels with Saudi or China.

Re:What Will Happen in the 2020s by marcosdumay on Wednesday January 01, 2020 @03:12PM (#21930259)
Yeah, when China breaks down again, it will be for very unique reasons, singular for their time and place, and dependent on a few very good or bad political decisions.

When has social change ever not been unique?

Re:What Will Happen in the 2020s by NeedMoreTea on Wednesday January 01, 2020 @03:43PM (#21930488)
Which is rather my point, rather than a few vague sweeping generalisations of GP drawing parallels where none appear to exist.

It's always easier to explain collapse with hindsight. :)