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Re:What Will Happen in the 2020s by Mountain_Skies on Wednesday January 01, 2020 @12:46PM (#21929255)
Many were alive when the Soviet Union and the Iron Curtain fell. That makes such large upheavals believable. The weakness of authoritarian regimes is that by their nature dissention is hidden. Those in charge aren't really aware of how far they're overshooting until it's too late to release some of the pressure. I don't understand Chinese culture or their current situation enough to say whether or not they're in danger but Saudi Arabia certainly seems to have many parallels with other authoritarian regimes that fell to revolution.
Re:What Will Happen in the 2020s by WaltPurvis on Wednesday January 01, 2020 @12:58PM (#21929350)
If anyone predicted in 1985 that a mere 7 years later the Soviet Union would no longer exist and Germany would be reunited, and it would all happen with essentially no violence, people would have derided them mercilessly.

Monumental changes can happen, and shockingly quickly.

Re:What Will Happen in the 2020s by NeedMoreTea on Wednesday January 01, 2020 @01:39PM (#21929639)
Not to me. Soviet Union's fall was a very unique set of events, some unique to the time and sweep of history, some just plain unique. It was a combination of the right leaders, Chernobyl, fallout from WW2 divisions such as the Baltic States Molotov Pact protests, and Solidarity and Lech Walesa in Poland, then the right chain of events over a decade.

Many of those Soviet Republics were very reluctant participants, forcibly occupied with underlying resentment going back centuries in a couple of cases, to WW2 in others.

There seem very few parallels with Saudi or China.

Re:What Will Happen in the 2020s by marcosdumay on Wednesday January 01, 2020 @03:12PM (#21930259)
Yeah, when China breaks down again, it will be for very unique reasons, singular for their time and place, and dependent on a few very good or bad political decisions.

When has social change ever not been unique?

Re:What Will Happen in the 2020s by NeedMoreTea on Wednesday January 01, 2020 @03:43PM (#21930488)
Which is rather my point, rather than a few vague sweeping generalisations of GP drawing parallels where none appear to exist.

It's always easier to explain collapse with hindsight. :)

Re:What Will Happen in the 2020s by Juliate on Wednesday January 01, 2020 @12:59PM (#21929358)
Well, Soviet Union (hence the Iron Curtain itself) were not really _well funded_ anymore when they fell. The system they had in place was completely failing.

Edit: or maybe I'm wrong. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dissolution_of_the_Soviet_Unio...

Re:What Will Happen in the 2020s by magduf on Wednesday January 01, 2020 @05:29PM (#21931182)
The Soviet Union and Warsaw Pact countries were in many ways the opposite of modern China. They were not efficient at all, and their economies were absolutely terrible. China has its problems, but a moribund economy is not one of them.
Re:What Will Happen in the 2020s by throwlaplace on Wednesday January 01, 2020 @12:50PM (#21929286)
>Saudi Arabia certainly seems to have many parallels with other authoritarian regimes that fell to revolution.

SA has the 12th highest purchasing power parity in the world. what parallels do you see exactly with the soviet union?