Disproved Discoveries That Won Nobel Prizes (2015)

Re:Disproved Discoveries That Won Nobel Prizes (2015) by jtolmar on Saturday November 30, 2019 @02:18PM (#21671672)

If there are as many examples of people receiving the peace prize then going on to be warmongers as there are the reverse, it suggests that the peace prize isn't really doing anything here and we're just looking at the base rate of leaders switching between peaceful and warlike actions.

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Re:Disproved Discoveries That Won Nobel Prizes (2015) by Tomte on Saturday November 30, 2019 @02:31PM (#21671729)

No, that's a fallacy, unless you can credibly argue for a causal link, i.e. because of the prize people feel they can get away with violence.

I find that not impossible to argue, but incredible, and would want to see supporting evidence.

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Re:Disproved Discoveries That Won Nobel Prizes (2015) by baddox on Saturday November 30, 2019 @02:33PM (#21671737)

Yes, but that cuts both ways.

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Re:Disproved Discoveries That Won Nobel Prizes (2015) by Tomte on Saturday November 30, 2019 @02:36PM (#21671753)

I only argue that there is a plausible mechanism, you argued in quantitative terms.

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