GPT-2 is good at generating coherent original sentences based on a given corpus, but they don't really mean anything, which rapidly becomes clearer with each extra sentence. Ask it for an essay and you get a string of sentences with zero underlying point. The distance from here to writing original novels is very, very far. (Experimental poets, however, might need to worry!)
I'm not sure if you're actually disagreeing with me.
My point is once some future neural network starts to grasp continuity and context (something GPT-2 does not do) I think writing won't be safe from AI.
I couldn't speculate when that would be, but I've seen some unpublished efforts that make me think it's sooner than many people might think.
But between here and there will be the opportunity for AI-assistive writing that could facilitate what my developmental editors and beta-readers do.
Agreed that AI-assistive writing is pretty close to the point where it can save you the hassle of thinking up interesting ways of describing minor characters and locations, but of course when it reaches that level there are massive areas of content creation for AI companies which are more lucrative than novel writing and don't require further technological advances...
I think AI content creation will affect everything. Publishing will only be tiny part of that...but a significant part if that’s your industry.
If this is so, writers will more likely become editors. In the same way, visuals artists might become curators.
As an optimist, I am still pondering how this could be a good thing.
My most recent series is The Naturalist. It's about a computational biologist that hunts serial killers. Even though the book goes into Bayesian statistics, Fourier analysis and has the occasional bit of Python, the series has been well received by the general public (it's Wall Street journal best seller and was optioned by a major studio.)
Diving into ML for research for the book lead me into actually doing my own projects and current AI startup.
As someone who wrote 6 unpublished novels, I'm envious of you that you got to publish that book (as in a story with a science touch)!
I specifically remember the scene where the protagonist is looking for bodies on the hill and he identifies the dead bodies acc to the plants that grew. It positively surprised me (that some ppl ala detectives actually are capable of that level of thinking) and gave me the creeps every time I go to the forest :p.
My books for rejected from every publisher and agent I sent it to and it is a duology about a "modern" dictatorship.
Part 1 is a mystery genre Part 2 is a satire.
Sadly, I live in India and as per an Editor "Love and historical fiction sells in India and yours ain't that"
I've now given up.
I started as a self-published author and sold hundreds of thousands of books plus made my first movie deal before ever getting a publisher.
I was actually better early-off as an indie than with some of my first publishing deals. Although I learned a lot by working with a first-rate editor.
You don't need a publisher in 2019. You need a good book, a good editor, a good cover and a good description...and to keep writing.
A year after I sat down to write my first self-published novel I was sitting across the table from one of my favorite directors on the Disney lot talking about my book.
All of that because I started by self-publishing.
GPT-2 is amazing without even grasping deeper context. Once NN’s start to grasp arc and continuity (which is understanding changes over time) I’ll be looking for a new job.