Ask HN: What will become possible by 2025 in your field of expertise?

Re:Ask HN: What will become possible by 2025 in your field o... by noodlesUK on Sunday November 17, 2019 @04:03PM (#21560038)

I agree with the deep fakes thing wrt video, but I’m still not convinced by the ability of current (and near future) ML models to generate meaningful written content like a film script. The GPT-2 stuff I’ve seen has mostly been sensible English, but I’ve never seen it actually generate a coherent story. What do you see are the steps between where we are now and where we’ll be in 10 years?

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Re:Ask HN: What will become possible by 2025 in your field o... by VLM on Sunday November 17, 2019 @04:51PM (#21560266)

"meaningful written content like a film script"

Award winning, agreed, no. Good enough for a special effects blockbuster or pr0n or stereotypical teen comedy or date night romcom, probably good enough.

Ironically the cheapest part of a movie right now seems to be the script / storyline, and some kind of Amazon Turk with more flexible morality might write better than we get now versions of special effects demo reels (aka action flicks) or pr0n or teen comedies via the magic of extensive A/B testing and population sampling.

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Re:Ask HN: What will become possible by 2025 in your field o... by fbi-director on Monday November 18, 2019 @04:56AM (#21563056)

I'm hereby patenting an idea or company that let's you input a story, a use some gui to modify the looks of each character, and let the tool this company provides, create a porn to your liking - per your provided input.

Even if it's in drawing/hentai form and not 'real' people.

Big bucks to be made!

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Re:Ask HN: What will become possible by 2025 in your field o... by aaron695 on Sunday November 17, 2019 @04:54PM (#21560281)

Pixar make films programmatically today.

So it exists. Just expensive atm like lab meat.

To write a script you need full general AI smarter than humans. So not what's being talked about.

A script is tiny. You can write one in a day for a 2 hour movie. It might be crap, but if you push a button and can watch it, you can iterate quickly. This is not within 10 years though.

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