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Re:Driverless cars are stuck in a jam by lkbm on Tuesday October 29, 2019 @01:05PM (#21389450)
> Furthermore, even 99.99999% reliability is not good enough, and that's already incredibly hard to achieve. Five 9s of reliability still means 5 minutes of unreliable behaviour per year, which is unacceptable in the context of driving.

40,000 traffic accident deaths per year in the US.

< 400,000,000 drivers.

So more than 1 fatality per year per 10,000 drivers. There's a 99.99% change that you won't kill someone while driving in a given year.

That's just fatalities.

> In 2017, there were an estimated 2,775,608 police-reported motor vehicle crashes in which at least one passenger vehicle (i.e., a passenger car or a light truck) was towed from the crash scene in the United States, which resulted in an estimated 1,686,240 known passen-ger vehicle occupant injuries.[0]

So 0.6% per driver per year.

So far today I've seen one driver going the wrong way down a one-way road, and one run a red light. (Plenty entering the intersection on yellow and leaving on red, but at least one where it was blatant). I was on the road for maybe thirty minutes.

Do you think the average driver spends less than five minutes per year driving unsafely?

[0] https://crashstats.nhtsa.dot.gov/Api/Public/ViewPublication/...

Re:Driverless cars are stuck in a jam by igammarays on Tuesday October 29, 2019 @01:54PM (#21390089)
Ok, point taken, I take my previous comment back. I guess we just have to wait until the risk posed by autonomous driving systems becomes socially acceptable. Right now it just seems like a scary unpredictable risk.