You mean like every prediction about the future? There is a reason we don't have great sci-fy describing humanity a long time in the future (I really love that stuff, any recommendations?) and why it usually plays in a dystopian setting throwing protagonists back to pretty much what we have right now.

Looking at what is fundamentally possible and extrapolating is pretty much all we have to make progress. Just that a capitalistic system doesn't need/really encourage us to do so for more than a few steps.

Sure, I wouldn't bet on time frames. Certainly not on 5-10 years til AGI. But certainly also not on still none in 50 years.