That's the wrong question to be asking. The relevant hardware change is when x86 CPUs that don't support 64-bit code finally disappeared from the market and eventually from the install base.
There is only a very narrow range of use cases for which running 32-bit code on a x86-64 processor is preferable to running the same code compiled as 64-bit. For everything else, going 64-bit is a clear improvement if not an outright necessity. Even if it didn't require any ongoing maintenance, continuing to ship 32-bit versions means wasting storage space and network bandwidth, and leaving on the table the improvements enabled by going 64-bit (eg. better ObjC runtime). For the entire existence of x86-64 processors it has been clear that retaining 32-bit compatibility through the entire software stack has significant downsides and that the cost/benefit balance has been inexorably moving toward eventually dropping 32-bit support.
Huh? What x86 processor doesn’t support 32bit code?
If they move to ARM, everything will get broken, regardless if whether it’s 32bit or 64bit. Is breaking things twice really better than breaking them once?