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Re:A Cheating Scandal Rocking the Poker World by appleshore on Friday October 04, 2019 @04:36PM (#21161671)
According to one conservative estimate, he’s 6.1 standard deviations above his expected winrate (of the best players in the game). This is about a 1 in 200 billion chance.

What he’s doing is basically mathematically impossible. Combined with all the other evidence, he is 100% cheating. When he doesn’t have an advantage, he plays dramatically different and does things he never does in the other 90%+ of sessions.

Re:A Cheating Scandal Rocking the Poker World by im3w1l on Saturday October 05, 2019 @07:21AM (#21164932)
Poker returns are not normally distributed, so you can't go from standard deviations to probability of it happening.