Re:A Counterintuitive Probability Game
by ChristianBundy on Thursday October 03, 2019 @02:26PM
(#21150257)
Of course, but I'm having trouble understanding why this works on an infinite number line. Say you flip over a 2,387,290,723,013,172,348,238,987: what do you think is the right guess?
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Re:A Counterintuitive Probability Game
by tobbykop on Thursday October 03, 2019 @06:05PM
(#21152757)
Its the largest because its positive, 75% I’m right.
And if we are only looking at positive numbers in an infinite axis I’d need to borrow your generator for a test to approximate its midpoint (which obviously it doesn’t have), which I then weigh against the original number with the logic “if it’s larger than what I got, so is your other number. If it’s smaller so is the other number.” Now since the chance for my number being the middle of the three drawn is 1/3(only case I lose), that gives me 66% chance of winning that bet.