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Re:Report: Young adults more likely to live with parents tha... by duxup on Thursday October 03, 2019 @02:24PM (#21150228)
Along similar lines of thinking it would be really nice if the young people would vote as consistently as the old people.

I'm in between generations and watching the old vs young bickering / division is painful to see... but I've also got a low tolerance for a lot of the "OMG boomers" stuff out there from folks who as a whole have a really poor voting record. Get in the game people....

Re:Report: Young adults more likely to live with parents tha... by Dakizhu on Thursday October 03, 2019 @02:38PM (#21150438)
Even if they did vote, a lot of the politically active young renters oppose new development since they see it as gentrification or only enriching real estate developers or only building luxury housing.
Re:Report: Young adults more likely to live with parents tha... by pcwalton on Thursday October 03, 2019 @02:50PM (#21150609)
It's not really a lot of people, just a loud minority with outsized influence in local politics and red rose Twitter. SB 50 polls 66% in favor to 18% against in California: https://sf.curbed.com/2019/5/17/18629809/sb-50-housing-trans...
Re:Report: Young adults more likely to live with parents tha... by LurkersWillLurk on Thursday October 03, 2019 @02:41PM (#21150480)
Why should they? If you increase the supply of housing, it puts downward pressure on rent. Am I missing something?
Re:Report: Young adults more likely to live with parents tha... by HarryHirsch on Thursday October 03, 2019 @02:55PM (#21150674)
If you increase the supply of housing, it puts downward pressure on rent

That's the bug right there. Rental housing is a popular investment vehicle, at a ROI of 9.5 % it slightly outperforms the stock market. Any regulation and anything that would decrease profit will be stridently opposed by the wealthy classes. They go and vote and sit on the city council.

Re:Report: Young adults more likely to live with parents tha... by opportune on Thursday October 03, 2019 @02:45PM (#21150538)
I think part of it is due to lack of understanding, you see new buildings being built that are going to rent out at the high range, and you think nobody actually affected by lack of housing will benefit from it. People who think differently ought to do a better job explaining to the general public why building luxury housing can help the people not living in luxury housing
Re:Report: Young adults more likely to live with parents tha... by journalctl on Thursday October 03, 2019 @03:38PM (#21151164)
It’s also frustrating because new housing is always necessarily market rate, and when the market rate is ridiculous, new housing is ridiculous. I live in “luxury” apartments from 1970, and even though I live in an expensive city, my rent is decently reasonable for the area (plus, I would hardly describe my unit as luxurious, unless you consider shoddy craftsmanship and ugly decor luxury). Point is: new is market rate, and market rate is expensive. So people see new apartments go up with market rates and assume that it’s just intentional gouging vs a reaction to market forces. And this doesn’t even touch things like how zoning encourages buildings like this, etc.
Re:Report: Young adults more likely to live with parents tha... by leetcrew on Thursday October 03, 2019 @03:19PM (#21150955)
luxury housing doesn't have a fixed luxury price; it just tends to be more expensive than lower end housing. I just moved into a relatively expensive apartment that is at the upper edge of what I can afford. rent in this area is actually experiencing a bit of downward pressure because several new high-end apartment buildings are going up at the same time. previously I was renting a place that was much cheaper. if the new place had been $100 more expensive, I wouldn't have moved. but I did move, and now someone with less money can live in the place I moved out of. the new building I moved into has many more units than the townhouses it replaced. if enough people like me move into it, they will no longer be bidding up the lower end housing.
Re:Report: Young adults more likely to live with parents tha... by opportune on Thursday October 03, 2019 @03:21PM (#21150977)
I agree! I’m saying we should explain this phenomenon of luxury housing supply opening up more lower end units to people, rather than throwing our hands in the air and lamenting that people just don’t get it
Re:Report: Young adults more likely to live with parents tha... by Pfhreak on Thursday October 03, 2019 @02:58PM (#21150715)
Building new buildings still displaces people, and in many cases the new buildings do not replace the existing affordable units with an equivalent number of affordable units. Even if they do keep parity, the people need to be moved out (and moved around) for years, and finding section 8 housing can be a challenge. Moving can be costly and exhausting.

Even if you do move back into the same neighborhood after construction is complete and your rent isn't impacted too much (which is not a super common outcome), it's likely the community around you has changed. Gentrification increases the costs of basic food, clothing, and other resources in your area. You're local diner might be replaced with a wagyu beef slinging $15 hamburger joint. It's doing brisk business, but you can't afford to eat there. Your old dinged and dented grocery store or market stall is now a fancy Whole Foods.

That's not to say it's impossible to build or improve neighborhoods, but it's also not so easy as 'just build more on top of existing units.' The disruption and displacement of hundreds or thousands of lives for years is significant.

There's a healthy debate around how best to deal with this -- do we just bite the bullet and build a TON of housing all at once? Do we try to preserve the residency of the people currently living there and build up opportunistically? Do we try to decommodify housing altogether to remove the incentives that lead to this situation? (If we priced housing based on how well it provided housing, rather than based on what the market would bear, we'd see a different sort of situation, I'd imagine.) I dunno, maybe the combination is all three.

I highly, highly recommend this youtube playlist which works through these sorts of things using Cities Skylines (which is a great city sim game): https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0lvUByM-fZk&list=PLwkSQD3vqK...

Re:Report: Young adults more likely to live with parents tha... by ProfessorLayton on Thursday October 03, 2019 @03:26PM (#21151021)
> do we just bite the bullet and build a TON of housing all at once?

Yes, we absolutely should. I live in a tract house/neighborhood from the 40s in the East Bay, which is a cookie cutter house that was constructed en mass, and was cheap (For the time) and high quality. I believe the house was initially purchased for something like ~8k (~140k in 2019 money), but it is worth many more times than that solely because no more housing has been built en mass since the war.

We should of course move onto building multifamily homes, and away from the mess SFH suburbia created, but the principle remains the same: More housing availability pushes down prices for everyone.

Re:Report: Young adults more likely to live with parents tha... by opportune on Thursday October 03, 2019 @03:11PM (#21150869)
Gentrification is a really complex issue, because on one hand it is objectively improving an area, and on the other, basically anybody without housing equity (ie a mortgage) in the gentrifying area gets screwed.

I think it needs to be solved at a macro level, in a way that is nuanced and delicate. Because on one hand, assuming the rest of the world doesn’t change, making an area nicer to live is objectively good. And upper middle class people deserve housing too, and landowners perhaps should have at least some level of control over what they do with their property (you can argue that landlording in general could be abolished, but that’s a separate discussion).

Of course on the other hand, it is a shame that poor people have to fight to keep their neighborhoods shitty so that they don’t get displaced to somewhere far away from their jobs and community.

I’m not sure if there’s a great economic solution that still involves a market housing economy. The least worst solution I can think of is to basically carve out special units for the exact people displaced. IE if I want to built a 300 unit condo tower in West Oakland taking up a whole block, I have to provide current-market-rate rents for all the people currently living in that block.

Re:Report: Young adults more likely to live with parents tha... by davidw on Thursday October 03, 2019 @03:26PM (#21151030)
I agree there is some nuance, but a lot of the reason why people move in and build in that poorer area is that they've been zoned out of the wealthier area where it's impossible to build any new housing at all.

Look at Palo Alto and East Palo Alto.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/East_Palo_Alto,_California

So... yeah, build a ton of housing, but start doing it a lot more in the rich areas that have been exempt from it for far too long.

Re:Report: Young adults more likely to live with parents tha... by huherto on Friday October 04, 2019 @08:59AM (#21157160)
You could say that if you allow building everywhere it lowers the inflationary pressure everywhere.
Re:Report: Young adults more likely to live with parents tha... by wbl on Thursday October 03, 2019 @08:26PM (#21153719)
New building that has been blocked in SF would replace a laundromat, chained lot that used to be a McDonalds, a Walgreens. Who exactly would have been displaced by any of those?
Re:Report: Young adults more likely to live with parents tha... by matchbok on Thursday October 03, 2019 @10:31PM (#21154330)
The argument that building new buildings "displaces" people is nonsense. In fact, I'd argue that more people are displaced by not building, due to supply constraints. Wealthy people will always be able to outbid others, and if supply doesn't keep up with demand people will be displaced.

Also, nobody is entitled to live anywhere they want at whatever price they want. It's this attitude that drives so many "affordable" housing programs that are complete failures (and a tax on the middle class).

Re:Report: Young adults more likely to live with parents tha... by klyrs on Thursday October 03, 2019 @08:34PM (#21153781)
> do we just bite the bullet and build a TON of housing all at once?

It sure worked for Harlem.

Re:Report: Young adults more likely to live with parents tha... by Spooky23 on Thursday October 03, 2019 @05:21PM (#21152360)
Not always. Real estate is a funny business and there are all sorts of tax rules, price floors, etc that distort the market.

In my area, new construction has raised the rent of “nice” apartments and shifted aging properties to Section 8, which is a defacto price floor.

Re:Report: Young adults more likely to live with parents tha... by AviationAtom on Thursday October 03, 2019 @10:55PM (#21154409)
Here they're all terrified that apartments will be occupied by Section 8 occupants. Oddly enough they are predominantly far left people here.
Re:Report: Young adults more likely to live with parents tha... by xenocyon on Thursday October 03, 2019 @11:02PM (#21154442)
Even in the best cases (i.e. where there isn't intentional voter suppression and gerrymandering), this is a bit of a chicken-and-egg problem. In my Seattle, for instance, city candidates will usually spend most of their canvassing efforts on (wealthier, older) homeowners rather than (pooorer, younger) renters. They do this because they know that homeowners will vote at much higher rates than renters. Yet this is something of a self-fulfilling prophecy: renters are also less likely to vote because none of the candidates have bothered reaching out to them.

So it's generally hard - for good reason - to persuade young people that any of the political candidates on the slate care about them. This has only barely begun to change recently.

Re:Report: Young adults more likely to live with parents tha... by ummonk on Thursday October 03, 2019 @03:15PM (#21150910)
Most of this isn’t due to voting but due to attendance / activism which retirees have a far greater ability to engage in without destroying work life balance.
Re:Report: Young adults more likely to live with parents tha... by fzeroracer on Thursday October 03, 2019 @02:29PM (#21150307)
The young people are often too busy working and generally trying to survive. They can't take time off to go vote, not to mention the gerrymandering where districts filled with retirees and the wealthy are prioritized.

If you want to fix voting for the younger generation the barriers to actually vote need to be lessened if not removed.

Re:Report: Young adults more likely to live with parents tha... by throwaway_law on Thursday October 03, 2019 @03:51PM (#21151336)
I don't agree with you being downvoted here...take another issue that is disproportionately effecting the young: Student Loans.

Every year more than 1M people default on their student loans, ruining their credit and essentially their lives.

Currently this is a voting block of 8M people and it will continue to grow by 1M every year. There is one candidate who has promised to forgive all student loans, and yet the person won't garner anywhere close to 8M votes.

There is a coordinated effort to indebt young people with loans they will spend the next 40-50 years of their life paying. Their degrees won't even pay for themselves as evidence by the fact these young people who historically could at least move out and begin their lives are no longer able to afford to do so...and when these issues are mentioned people are silenced (or downvoted into the grey so their comments can't be read).

There is more to this than young people don't vote, especially where they have every reason.

Re:Report: Young adults more likely to live with parents tha... by raisedbyninjas on Thursday October 03, 2019 @09:45PM (#21154110)
Only 18% of the population live in swing states though. Assuming an even distribution, that's < 1.5 million votes.
Re:Report: Young adults more likely to live with parents tha... by throwaway_law on Friday October 04, 2019 @08:46AM (#21157062)
I think that is a fair point (although certainly we wouldn't find even distribution of these people across the States, but I can't provide the statistical breakdown).

However, 8 Million is the potential voting block of people who have already defaulted on their student loans...there are a total of 44.7 Million people with student loans who all would be interested and benefit from loan forgiveness/abatement. To put those numbers in perspective it it just exceeds the number of elderly voters on Medicare (44 Million).

Re:Report: Young adults more likely to live with parents tha... by huherto on Friday October 04, 2019 @09:05AM (#21157212)
There are still many issues to vote on.

Also, if you live on a red state vote for a moderate. Try to influence the primaries.

Re:Report: Young adults more likely to live with parents tha... by slimed on Thursday October 03, 2019 @08:10PM (#21153626)
I don't think you'll find much sympathy for those who take out college loans beyond what their future occupation will realistically support in a forum like this.
Re:Report: Young adults more likely to live with parents tha... by bregma on Thursday October 03, 2019 @02:55PM (#21150679)
People of all ages have always been too busy working and generally trying to survive. That's a wretched excuse for not exercising your franchise and worthy of the contempt that gets piled on whiny entitled people that expect some kind of trophy just for showing up at the polls.
Re:Report: Young adults more likely to live with parents tha... by autoexec on Thursday October 03, 2019 @03:59PM (#21151437)
> People of all ages have always been too busy working and generally trying to survive.

Traditionally older people tend to have (or have had) more set schedules/defined work hours, more benefits (paid time off), and better job security in general. I'm not saying it's impossible for kids today to vote, but there are some disturbing trends in employment and the way workers are treated that I can see making it harder than it's been for previous generations.

Previous generations were able to support themselves at least enough to move out of their parent's homes. Young adults today are clearly struggling in ways that past generations haven't had to and that's going to strain how much time and effort they can spend on local and state politics.

Of course none of that addresses the larger issues like voter disenfranchisement and gerrymandering which limit the impact of voters making the effort seem less worthwhile.

I still think young people should do everything the can to get involved and vote, but I'm not going to pretend that any mention of their struggles can be dismissed by calling them "whiny entitled people"

Re:Report: Young adults more likely to live with parents tha... by chillwaves on Thursday October 03, 2019 @10:41PM (#21154367)
Maybe we should make election day a national holiday.
Re:Report: Young adults more likely to live with parents tha... by zjaffee on Thursday October 03, 2019 @02:35PM (#21150398)
This is an inaccurate assessment, even in states like WA where all voting is done by mail and you have few weeks to actually do it, young people don't vote as much.
Re:Report: Young adults more likely to live with parents tha... by birdyrooster on Thursday October 03, 2019 @02:47PM (#21150566)
Young people’s brains have a lot going on and it’s hard to prioritize. Old folks already had their learning experiences of forgetting to vote or seeing the repercussions of not voting. No one is at fault per se and this is just a natural reflection of how people learn over time.
Re:Report: Young adults more likely to live with parents tha... by drdeadringer on Thursday October 03, 2019 @03:35PM (#21151121)
I happened to turn 18 right in time to vote in a [US] presidential election year. I've made a point to vote in every election I can from that point on.

Did I have "a lot going on"? Sure. Do I have utter faith in "The Government" and//or "The Voting Process"? Not really.

But I still vote. It's my right and also, as I've come to see it, my duty. Free speech or no, I believe that if I want to complain about an election and be taken seriously I should participate in it at at least the bare minimal active level.

Re:Report: Young adults more likely to live with parents tha... by mjevans on Thursday October 03, 2019 @04:56PM (#21152110)
My strong belief is that the PRIVILEGE to 'complain' (I usually use a different word) about the outcome depends on exercising the RIGHT to vote.

I've always made time to vote, and at least read the voter's pamphlet if not also further sources to attempt to make that vote an informed one.

Re:Report: Young adults more likely to live with parents tha... by drdeadringer on Thursday October 03, 2019 @06:31PM (#21152965)
I'm curious: what other word do you use?

Asking for a thesaurus.

Re:Report: Young adults more likely to live with parents tha... by woofyman on Thursday October 03, 2019 @04:16PM (#21151648)
I’ve voted in every election since turning 18.
Re:Report: Young adults more likely to live with parents tha... by usepgp on Thursday October 03, 2019 @08:09PM (#21153610)
Like the parent comment said, there is a noticeable difference even in states like Washington. We have close to two weeks to fill out the ballots and mail it back or drop it off. There is a huge difference between "having a lot going on" and "procrastinating for two weeks". the ballots take ~5 minutes to fill out, and ~10 minutes to drop off.
Re:Report: Young adults more likely to live with parents tha... by wonderwonder on Thursday October 03, 2019 @08:26PM (#21153724)
"The young people are often too busy working and generally trying to survive"

I find this a very questionable statement. Most middle age people are working 40+ hours, on top of devoting hours to kids, maintenance etc. They are every bit as busy as young people, if not more so.

Politicians respond to only 2 things, votes and lobbyist dollars. If people want to make a change and have politicians stop ignoring them then they need to establish themselves as a reliable voting block. Until they do this they are just shouting into the wind / twitter / reddit / facebook.

Voting by absentee ballot takes minutes, everyone who want to has time for that.

Re:Report: Young adults more likely to live with parents tha... by duxup on Thursday October 03, 2019 @02:50PM (#21150612)
IIRC the options to absentee / vote by mail has been growing dramatically.
Re:Report: Young adults more likely to live with parents tha... by drdeadringer on Thursday October 03, 2019 @03:42PM (#21151227)
When I moved to Washington [state] I was amazed that I could vote by mail -- and by default, too.

Since moving to California after that, I've voted by mail as much as possible, and I literally live right next door to my polling station; I see it and their parking spots right out my bedrooms' windows every day.

Re:Report: Young adults more likely to live with parents tha... by wolco on Thursday October 03, 2019 @02:52PM (#21150629)
Young people have as much or more time than other groups.

Seniors have time but have trouble getting to the pols.

Middle age - Are working/picking up kids but still find time.

I think younger people see through the effectiveness of voting. If I do vote my vote seems to really not matter. If all young people vote as a block maybe an issue will be mentioned or moved towards something I like. But the effort / reward doesn't add up when the election is decided in the mid-west and the election is called before my vote is even records as a California resident.

It seems crazy that you are given two choices that basically blame each for everything gone wrong or take credit for everything positive but do the same thing when given the chance.

Liking a photo is so much more rewarding and feels like more of a direct impact.

Re:Report: Young adults more likely to live with parents tha... by PhasmaFelis on Thursday October 03, 2019 @03:18PM (#21150946)
> I think younger people see through the effectiveness of voting. If I do vote my vote seems to really not matter.

As long as young people keep thinking like that, and old people don't, old people will keep winning elections.

> If all young people vote as a block maybe an issue will be mentioned or moved towards something I like. But the effort / reward doesn't add up when the election is decided in the mid-west and the election is called before my vote is even records as a California resident.

State and local elections matter too.

Re:Report: Young adults more likely to live with parents tha... by chowells on Thursday October 03, 2019 @07:53PM (#21153505)
How many elections have you voted in or been eligible to vote in where a single vote being added or removed would have changed the outcome? Zero? Cool, me too.

Voting is not economically rational if it takes more than zero time, given those odds.

When so many people beat the drum of economic rationality, is it a surprise people don't vote? At most one of "economic rationality is valid" or "you should vote" is a true statement. When we're told that the former is true, we're being told not to vote.

There are modifications of "rationality" that actually provide a justification for voting. But you'll never see an economist acknowledge that superrationality is a thing, for instance.

Re:Report: Young adults more likely to live with parents tha... by ycombobreaker on Friday October 04, 2019 @12:50AM (#21154856)
Voting is a civic duty for a functional democracy. I don't understand the rampant defeatism I see in the "deliberate nonvoting" bloc, but the outcome seems obvious enough.
Re:Report: Young adults more likely to live with parents tha... by PhasmaFelis on Friday October 04, 2019 @08:46AM (#21157060)
> How many elections have you voted in or been eligible to vote in where a single vote being added or removed would have changed the outcome? Zero? Cool, me too.

Is a thing only worth doing if you can cast yourself as the lone hero who turned the tide?

This seems like the Tragedy of the Commons. You fish in a stream, because why not? One person can never eat enough fish to make a dent in the population. Then a thousand of your neighbors fish the same stream. Soon it's completely depopulated, and there are no more fish for anyone, and everyone involved can still say "it wasn't my fault, my impact was barely noticeable."

Either it's nobody's fault, just a totally unavoidable act of God, or it's everybody's fault, and you all should have worked together to address it. Only one of those ways of thinking will get anything done.

Re:Report: Young adults more likely to live with parents tha... by chucksmash on Friday October 04, 2019 @08:10AM (#21156775)
> How many elections have you voted in or been eligible to vote in where a single vote being added or removed would have changed the outcome? Zero? Cool, me too.

So if you aren't the one, single deciding vote it's not worthwhile? That's an immature approach. All the more immature because you go on to couch it in rhetoric about economics and "rationality" that amounts to nothing more than third rate sophistry.

You're not a taxi cab that has to be in service 24 hours a day to maximize utilization. You're a person with responsibilities. Your "economic rationality" is just a lazy justification for only doing what you feel like doing ("provides marginal value!") and never doing anything you don't.

If you're going to be a bum, be honest with yourself and those around you.

Re:Report: Young adults more likely to live with parents tha... by philipkglass on Friday October 04, 2019 @01:19PM (#21159791)
I have voted in every election I could since I turned 18.

In one of those elections, my preferred candidate won by a mere 129 votes out of 2.8 million votes cast:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2004_Washington_gubernatorial_...

If you don't vote, you won't be able to tell if your vote "really mattered" in an election until it's too late to do anything.

Re:Report: Young adults more likely to live with parents tha... by huherto on Friday October 04, 2019 @09:03AM (#21157195)
Make voting day a holiday. Or just do it on Sundays like many countries do.