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Re:Britain’s Reichstag Fire Moment by nailer on Friday August 30, 2019 @04:45AM (#20836845)
Parliament is dismissed regularly. The current dismissal is 4 days longer than normal (https://order-order.com/2019/08/28/boriss-prorogation-will-s...). The current length of sitting is the longest in a very long time (it's currently two years, it's normally one).

It's not clear what people who want to overturn the referendum would do in those four days that they couldn't do in the previous three years.

I supported Remain (here's me on HN trying to get support for Stronger In back in 2016) https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=11952724), but something like a million more people voted leave.

Comparing attempts to implement the referendum outcome to Hitler or Erdogan is bizarre and clickbaity. Flagged.

Re:Britain’s Reichstag Fire Moment by bayesian_horse on Friday August 30, 2019 @04:53AM (#20836876)
Of course a dismissal of parliament is nothing out of the ordinary, but you are ignoring the context.

The government is dismissing the parliament not because they want to solicit the voters' input in the form of new elections, but rather because they want to shut down the voters' objections against the no-deal Brexit (which arguably wasn't even on the ballot in the first place!) and paralyze the parliament until they can't prevent it anymore.

And expecting journalists or historians not to draw comparisons across successful or attempted end runs around a relatively democratic system is a little strange.

Re:Britain’s Reichstag Fire Moment by nailer on Friday August 30, 2019 @05:00AM (#20836903)
> against the no-deal Brexit (which arguably wasn't even on the ballot in the first place!)

The ballot: "Leave" or "remain". "The government will implement what you decide"

The government must be able to keep all options on the table, including no-deal, to get a good deal.

If you have to take a job, and don't have the option of walking away, your employer will give you the worst deal possible.

Re:Britain’s Reichstag Fire Moment by bayesian_horse on Friday August 30, 2019 @05:06AM (#20836925)
In practice, though, I suspect the number of leave-voters who didn't think a no-deal Brexit would be possible is a lot larger than the winning margin.

And then the leave voters believed the BS about the NHS too. The Referendum was ill posed and the voters were ill-informed, mostly through the fault of the government, the Leave Campaign, Billionaire donors and even Putin's involvement.

Re:Britain’s Reichstag Fire Moment by nailer on Friday August 30, 2019 @05:11AM (#20836950)
> I suspect the number of leave-voters who didn't think a no-deal Brexit would be possible is a lot larger than the winning margin.

A no deal must be possible to get a deal. Likewise the EU wants to sell its dairy, prosecco, and cars to the UK but wouldn't dream of accepting a terrible deal for the EU. It's possible the a punitive EU might sacrifice the EU and UK economy by refusing to provide a deal for a few months until the pain becomes too much. UK needs to plan for that.

> the BS about the NHS too.

The UK does send 300M to the EU. We get 150M back to spend as the EU desires, the rest is used by the EU outside the UK. Nobody disputes that, it depends whether you think it's OK that we get half it back, or that it's not OK the EU determines how we spend our money.

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Edit: rate limited, but to reply to the person below:

> Apparently some people flag/down-vote me because they don't like the facts.

Complaining about moderation should be done via email to thee admins and not comments per the HN guidelines. But OK, let's go through your facts.

> It's a fact that many Leave Voters did not expect a no-deal under any circumstances.

Yep agreed. It still needs to be on the table, as it does from the EU side.

> Even the excuse that they need that option to get a deal presupposes that they don't want a no-deal and don't expect it to happen.

Yep agreed. Long term I don't think the EU or the UK wants mutually assured destruction.

> The scenario of the EU trying to "torture" the UK with a few month of third-country status is even more absurd

It's consistent with some of the angrier statements from Jean Claude Juncker and other EU leaders.

> because that presupposes that the EU has no significant disadvantages from withholding a deal

Agreed, the EU has significant disadvantages from withholding a deal. That does not mean the EU will behave rationally or put the EUs (the organisation) self interest ahead of EU member states who wish to keep selling their product in one of the world's largest markets.

> rendering the "leverage" of the no-deal option void.

That doesn't follow. The EU wouldn't agree to a deal that harmed the EU, so they'd also prefer WTO if that was all Britain offered. Likewise the opposite.

> And even then this argument is still wrong: There is no requirement for a no-deal option to have lots of leverage in the negotiation

Why? How can you negotiate a desirable outcome if you cannot walk away and must agree to any deal offered?

> and even with the no-deal on the table the UK didn't get anywhere near the deal they wanted, proving the leave-campaign to be extremely naive or outright liers.

Is that determined yet? Negotiation is still ongoing.

> And no, the leave-campaign never acknowledged or promoted, before the referendum, that the UK is getting half of it back.

Yep agreed.

> They explicitly stated, time and time again "let's put that money into the NHS". Which was impossible back then and oh, look! it's still not possible today.

It would be possible to put the entire 300M into to the NHS, as the UK would control how the money is spent. But it would not be desirable to.

> But Putin, who also financed and supported the leave campaign, likes all those options.

Is this is a fact?

Re:Britain’s Reichstag Fire Moment by bayesian_horse on Friday August 30, 2019 @07:04AM (#20837448)
Even many Leave-voters say they feel duped by the NHS claims and other things. Nobody prevents parliament to put 150m additionally into the NHS right now, the EU has never had any say in that!

About Russian interference: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russian_interference_in_the_20...

It's really strange that some people want to push through a catastrophic brexit against the current will of the majority for "nationalistic" reasons and to strengthen the UK, but they don't have a problem that Putin clearly wanted this to happen.

Do these people really think Putin wants Brexit because it's good for the UK?

Re:Britain’s Reichstag Fire Moment by nailer on Friday August 30, 2019 @05:54PM (#20843067)
> Nobody prevents parliament to put 150m additionally into the NHS right now, the EU has never had any say in that!

The fact that we're giving 150M to other countries that doesn't come back to us prevents it.

The biggest issue with Leave.EU found by the Electoral Commission was around spending limits. Wikipedia isn't a reference, but because I'm lazy:

> On 19 July 2019, this was quashed by the High Court as the fine given by the Electoral Commission was found to be erroneous of fact, erroneous of law and was perversely unreasonable by the test of Wednesbury unreasonableness.

Re:Britain’s Reichstag Fire Moment by bayesian_horse on Sunday September 01, 2019 @01:52AM (#20850700)
You can't just switch between 350m and 150m at will. 350m was the number promised, and it was a lie.

And even the 150m is at best misleading, because the EU is spending the money in the common interest of all member states. Disparities in the common market are not to the UK's benefit. And Britain already got a remarkably good deal on those costs because of all the whining.

The next deal, in 10-20 years when the changed demographic is begging for reentry in the EU will be a lot less favorable and maybe the UK actually has to pay its fair share of the burden?

Re:Britain’s Reichstag Fire Moment by bayesian_horse on Friday August 30, 2019 @05:30AM (#20837048)
It's a fact that many Leave Voters did not expect a no-deal under any circumstances. Even the excuse that they need that option to get a deal presupposes that they don't want a no-deal and don't expect it to happen.

The scenario of the EU trying to "torture" the UK with a few month of third-country status is even more absurd, because that presupposes that the EU has no significant disadvantages from withholding a deal, rendering the "leverage" of the no-deal option void.

And even then this argument is still wrong: There is no requirement for a no-deal option to have lots of leverage in the negotiation, and even with the no-deal on the table the UK didn't get anywhere near the deal they wanted, proving the leave-campaign to be extremely naive or outright liers.

And no, the leave-campaign never acknowledged or promoted, before the referendum, that the UK is getting half of it back. They explicitly stated, time and time again "let's put that money into the NHS". Which was impossible back then and oh, look! it's still not possible today. By my standards that's clearly a lie.

But Putin, who also financed and supported the leave campaign, likes all those options. Total Chaos in No-deal Brexit is probably his favorite option, though.

Re:Britain’s Reichstag Fire Moment by thinkingemote on Friday August 30, 2019 @05:33AM (#20837061)
This submission has been flagged killed. I suspect that your multiple replies to several different comments may have contributed towards this automated or manual action.
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Re:Britain’s Reichstag Fire Moment by nailer on Friday August 30, 2019 @08:20AM (#20837818)
Replied as an edit. To be honest though I suspect most people don't bother debating Brexit anymore because there was a referendum on the topic in 2016
Re:Britain’s Reichstag Fire Moment by tomatocracy on Friday August 30, 2019 @04:57AM (#20836893)
For 'the voters' I think you mean MPs. The voters haven't had a vote either way on this point and opinion polling has not exactly been either consistent or reliable on it. The MPs who are upset at this seem not to want an election for some reason.

Also, they're not dismissing parliament, but suspending it.

Re:Britain’s Reichstag Fire Moment by bayesian_horse on Friday August 30, 2019 @05:10AM (#20836945)
I don't know any poll where "No Deal" had a majority. Do you?

The voters now have a lot more information. They know the NHS claims were lies. They know which billionaires funded Leave. They know Putin had a hand in it. They know that the EU won't agree to the pie-in-the-sky one sided fairy-deal the Leave-voters have been promised for a few years now.

Why not hold a new referendum with more information and more precise choices?

Re:Britain’s Reichstag Fire Moment by pbhjpbhj on Friday August 30, 2019 @05:18AM (#20836985)
We all know the answer to that question though, rich powerful people getting richer and more powerful don't want plebs getting in the way of their plans.
Re:Britain’s Reichstag Fire Moment by bayesian_horse on Friday August 30, 2019 @05:34AM (#20837069)
I suspect the "rich and powerful" people will actually get hurt. Not as much as the less rich, but still.

The UK government doesn't have any of its ducks in a row, deal or no deal. They almost certainly will have a recession, they will almost certainly lose a good chunk of their financial industry. It's just a fact of life if you are on an island and suddenly choke your ports.

The alternative to virtually closing those ports (for lack of resources in screening) is to do no screening and just accept the EU standards. Now without having a say in those standards. Good luck...

Re:Britain’s Reichstag Fire Moment by bambataa on Friday August 30, 2019 @04:59AM (#20836901)
This prorogation is significantly longer than usual (see: https://www.channel4.com/news/factcheck/factcheck-parliament...). It is usually for less than a week and this is for up to 34 days. The Government has failed to give a reasonable justification for the extra duration. Every complaint about "blocking" remainer MPs makes clear the real reason. Trying to block a no-deal Brexit of course does not entail overturning the referendum result as no-one was proposing no-deal during the referendum.

That said, I agree with you that Parliament doesn't seem capable of much. Personally I think too many MPs are caught up in their own importance and should have recognised the need for something like citizens' assemblies long ago. If Macron can organise them after some protests why are we still stuck where we were three years ago?

Re:Britain’s Reichstag Fire Moment by nailer on Friday August 30, 2019 @05:05AM (#20836922)
Which is a net loss of four sitting days: https://order-order.com/2019/08/28/boriss-prorogation-will-s... (also added to the above).

Be careful of Channel 4 in general, it's not unusual they'd omit something like this from a fact check.

Re:Britain’s Reichstag Fire Moment by bambataa on Friday August 30, 2019 @05:13AM (#20836961)
I'm not sure that demonstrating that Major used prorogation to avoid scrutiny of a scandal really changes much. So we're agreed that PMs prorogue Parliament for abnormally long periods when they want to avoid awkward questions? Why might Johnson be doing that now? Why risk all of these negative headlines to avoid just four sitting days?

Of course, it's also absurd that Parliament has carried on with its usual summer and conference recesses as if nothing important is happening.

Re:Britain’s Reichstag Fire Moment by nailer on Friday August 30, 2019 @08:18AM (#20837801)
I suspect because the last few days before the deadline will be the peak of negotiations, because the decision of whether to leave the EU was decided by a referendum in 2016, and because referendums should not be overridden by MPs.
Re:Britain’s Reichstag Fire Moment by tomatocracy on Friday August 30, 2019 @05:23AM (#20837014)
He wants the headlines I suspect. They only hurt him with people who would never have voted for him anyway, and they help him with groups who might.
Re:Britain’s Reichstag Fire Moment by pmyteh on Friday August 30, 2019 @05:05AM (#20836920)
Prorogations are routine. Prorogations to suspend Parliament to stop it doing things inconvenient to the executive really aren't. As with so many things with Brexit, it puts us beyond the conventions of Parliamentary government.

I agree that it's not a Reichstag fire situation. For American readers the closest analogy is probably with FDR's court packing plan: within the law, but an attempt to end-run another branch of government and take its power away.

Nevertheless, opponents (including within his own party) saw that as corrosive to good government and stopped it. I think they were right to do so. The line between that (and the Johnson situation) and the 'soft authoritarian' democracies with executive-dominated institutions is not all that wide.

Re:Britain’s Reichstag Fire Moment by tomatocracy on Friday August 30, 2019 @05:30AM (#20837050)
Perhaps a technical point but we don't have 'parliamentary government'. The House of Commons is not, and never has been 'the government' (ie the executive). It is a check on what the government can do, as is the Lords - the government cannot change the law, raise taxes or raise a standing army without their consent.

Although its not a phrase associated with Westminster (its more closely associated with former Dominions when they became self governing) it might be better described as 'responsible government' ie the government is held responsible by Parliament.

This tension between Parliament and the Crown has been a part of the UK's (and before that, England's) constitutional settlement since Magna Carta in 1215, and arguably before that.

Re:Britain’s Reichstag Fire Moment by pmyteh on Friday August 30, 2019 @06:06AM (#20837201)
Differing technical vocabularies, I think: I meant Parliamentary as opposed to presidential or semi-presidential (the two other main categories of Western-style democracy in political science). Americanists in particular see our insistence that Parliament is not part of government quite bizarre - they include the judicial branch too.

You're absolutely right that Parliament hasn't governed directly for a long time (arguably not since the civil war, and that was itself a highly unusual period where some questionable constitutional innovations happened). It's also the case that the question of whether the Crown can govern without constraint from Parliament has been settled in principle for centuries: it can't. The Commons has had to repeatedly assert this over the years, and it looks like they're going to do so again.

Re:Britain’s Reichstag Fire Moment by lou1306 on Friday August 30, 2019 @05:06AM (#20836929)
What happens "regularly" is irrelevant, given the extraordinary circumstances. And it's not a matter of "overturning" the referendum -- Parliament could just pass a new Brexit deal and reopen negotiations. If BoJo wants a no-deal Brexit he should seek parliamentary approval for it.
Re:Britain’s Reichstag Fire Moment by nailer on Friday August 30, 2019 @05:38AM (#20837086)
Johnson doesn't want a no-deal Brexit. He wants a deal, which requires no-deal to be on the table in order to negotiate.
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Re:Britain’s Reichstag Fire Moment by tomatocracy on Friday August 30, 2019 @05:24AM (#20837019)
No, the last prorogation was in 2017.
Re:Britain’s Reichstag Fire Moment by pbhjpbhj on Saturday August 31, 2019 @11:49AM (#20847004)
Go on, the last none standard suspension?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prorogation_in_the_United_King...

Suggests instead it was 1997 and preceded a GE, prior to that it was 1948, then once in the 1800s and once by King Charles.

Doesn't sounds so terribly common. Why are you trying to mislead people?