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A comment on Yield curve is blaring loudest recession warning since 2007. Parent comment

Re:Yield curve is blaring loudest recession warning since 2007 by tcbawo on Monday August 05, 2019 @01:42PM (#20616282)
If you were planning on buying more chickens tomorrow, you might be inclined to wait instead if the price is falling. Especially if the cost of hens relative to eggs is near an all-time high.
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Re:Yield curve is blaring loudest recession warning since 2007 by sachdevap on Monday August 05, 2019 @01:50PM (#20616396)
All time high has nothing to do with what the value will be anytime tomorrow. If you can't predict the value for the next day, what is the point of waiting to time the market. Besides, even the worst timers of the market do pretty well with disciplined investments.
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Re:Yield curve is blaring loudest recession warning since 2007 by overcast on Monday August 05, 2019 @01:51PM (#20616401)
It doesn't matter, that's the point. They are laying dividends that you wouldn't otherwise accumulate because you WAITED.
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Re:Yield curve is blaring loudest recession warning since 2007 by tcbawo on Tuesday August 06, 2019 @11:48AM (#20626231)
What if the (expected profit per chicken)/(cost of chicken) was close to the return on a riskless asset, like a government bond? Wouldn't the farmer be more inclined to park money there than take the risk of buying more chickens?
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