Re:African leaders launch landmark 55-nation trade zone
by Double_a_92 on Monday July 08, 2019 @04:58AM
(#20381075)
> Where did you get the idea that it's just a currency policy?
Not just, but it is.
E.g. Switzerland has actively tried for years to peg 1.20 CHF to 1 EUR, to ensure that exports would not be hurt by a strong CHF. ... Until it suddenly didn't anymore.
Anyway the takeaway is that there is an upper bound to how much Greece can borrow from Germany before local industry becomes more cost effective. The goal is to trade as much as possible but to also support the local economy.
Now the same scenario with the Euro results in no appreciation or devaluation. Greece borrows money from Germany. The exchange rate doesn't change because it's the same currency. Greece's ability to repay the loan did not change but there is now no economic pressure to not lend money. Greece can lend as much as it wants and since German products are always more cost effective it will use that borrowed money to always buy German products. The local economy languishes and eventually Greece has borrowed so much that it can't pay off it's debt. Then all you need to do to finish off Greece is to launch some kind of austerity policy that decimates what little local economy has managed to survive.
There is no working solution for the problems a unified currency causes. The best thing that one could possibly do is to have transfer payments to cancel the surplus but there is no way to force people to spend that money in the local economy and there is still the perverse incentive to increase the surplus to get more transfer payments.