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Re:Apple iCloud Experiencing Issues by api on Thursday July 04, 2019 @01:38PM (#20356335)
Facebook, Google, Apple, Cloudflare, Azure, Amazon, WhatsApp, and we have noticed smaller bits of routing weirdness like servers in Los Angeles not being able to hit GitHub for a few hours a few days ago.

This is more like 6-8, not e. It's definitely odd.

One non-conspiracy explanation I can imagine is that maybe all these big providers have a bunch of hidden dependencies on each other.

Re:Apple iCloud Experiencing Issues by inlined on Thursday July 04, 2019 @01:55PM (#20356458)
Apple documents their dependencies on other Cloud providers. Facebook has its own DCs but I think they’re sometimes colocated with cloud providers’.
Re:Apple iCloud Experiencing Issues by the-dude on Thursday July 04, 2019 @02:19PM (#20356661)
But the outages are sequential, not simultaneous
Re:Apple iCloud Experiencing Issues by api on Thursday July 04, 2019 @02:48PM (#20356842)
They are very dense compared to the usual rate.
Re:Apple iCloud Experiencing Issues by 3JPLW on Thursday July 04, 2019 @01:42PM (#20356358)
I agree, this is a bigger and really dense cluster, but remember that e is just the average (mean) cluster size. There will be clusters bigger than it.

My point is simply that our intuition of randomness biases us to see meaning in clusters when there is none in the first place. In other words, we need to intentionally shift our prior on how unlikely this event is. Yes, it's still unlikely, but it's not as unlikely as you would think.