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A comment on The Most Reliable Recession Indicator of the Past 50 Years Has Started Blaring.

Re:The Most Reliable Recession Indicator of the Past 50 Year... by BubRoss on Wednesday July 03, 2019 @05:14PM (#20348864)
"As of this week, the U.S. Treasury yield curve has now been inverted for a full quarter"

Just in case you don't want to be clickbaited.

[ Parent | on HN ]
Re:The Most Reliable Recession Indicator of the Past 50 Year... by naveen99 on Thursday July 04, 2019 @09:27AM (#20354400)
I am surprised the inverted yield is not the natural state of affairs. In the options world, short expiry contracts pay a higher premium than long term contracts. Long term loans are like wholesale as short term loans are to retail. Shouldn’t short term interest rates be higher ?
[ Parent | on HN ]