Re:The BS-Industrial Complex of Phony A.I.
by goatlover on Tuesday June 25, 2019 @10:11AM
(#20274335)
> Extrapolating the trend of the last 30 years, there is evidence that computers will be able to solve every task a human can using pattern matching. If that isn't AGI, it might turn out to be better than intelligence.
Only if the trend lasts and is applicable to every human task. Those are pretty big assumptions.
> If someone finds an objective function for deciding what decision parameters are important AGI could be upon us very quickly.
And if that function doesn't exist, because the real world (not a board game) is messy, dynamic and complex?
> As a postcript, I think people radically overestimate human intelligence.
Individually maybe, but as a group we're pretty damn impressive. I think you're radically underestimating the species. But this has been the case for strong AI proponents since the 1950s. AGI is always 20 years and one good algorithm away.
Only if the trend lasts and is applicable to every human task. Those are pretty big assumptions.
> If someone finds an objective function for deciding what decision parameters are important AGI could be upon us very quickly.
And if that function doesn't exist, because the real world (not a board game) is messy, dynamic and complex?
> As a postcript, I think people radically overestimate human intelligence.
Individually maybe, but as a group we're pretty damn impressive. I think you're radically underestimating the species. But this has been the case for strong AI proponents since the 1950s. AGI is always 20 years and one good algorithm away.