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Re:Death rates from energy production per TWh by KirinDave on Tuesday May 14, 2019 @10:28AM (#19909799)
So, it's fairly obvious this was written with a pro-Nucelar bent, which is disappointing for something branded with YC. Even if we ignore that when nuclear power plants DO fail, they're cataclysmic in consequences. Simply put, there are only so many 500-year-no-go-zones we can create in our environment before the problems presented by them start to scale upwards into places we don't understand.

What I think is most interesting is that very few entrepreneurs are talking about the exciting world of a more distributed grid. Distributed Grids running on renewables with backup from a larger centralized grid is a really interesting idea, and it's one where long term servicing costs will be pretty big.

It'd be a good time for folks in SV to think about swinging at the big formerly-state-subsidized behemoth power company. Because the alternative is that they make their case that they need state subsidization while still maintaining autonomy.

I don't really understand why so many folks like to think it's a clever take to say, "Actually Nuclear is quite safe." Even if that's the case, it is dependent on having a centralized power grid (which is very hard to maintain and occasionally causes wildfires), it depends on fuel mining and manufacture (also not a very safe proposition for those involved, uranium mining has similar risks to coal mining), and the proliferation of these fuels also proliferates an important component of the means by which weapons that turn a city to ash in mere moments are manufactured.

Compare this to the plunging cost of solar and wind. It just... doesn't seem very smart except for the most densely stacked industrial regions.

Re:Death rates from energy production per TWh by scrumper on Tuesday May 14, 2019 @10:44AM (#19909993)
It isn’t written from a pro-nuclear perspective: it’s just data, with attributed sources. And the majority of those nuclear deaths are from uranium mining.
Re:Death rates from energy production per TWh by Permit on Tuesday May 14, 2019 @10:50AM (#19910060)
Simply presenting data can still be biased. For example you can choose what metrics to show or you can choose to omit data (deaths for solar and wind) in order to make your preferred choice more palatable.

I'm not accusing the authors of doing this because I don't know much about this field, but it's worth being aware that even raw data can be biased.

Re:Death rates from energy production per TWh by scrumper on Tuesday May 14, 2019 @11:35AM (#19910525)
> (deaths for solar and wind)

Good point. And those were interesting omissions, I agree.

Re:Death rates from energy production per TWh by KirinDave on Tuesday May 14, 2019 @10:45AM (#19910003)
There is an associated article with an obvious bias.
Re:Death rates from energy production per TWh by leereeves on Tuesday May 14, 2019 @12:11PM (#19910830)
It's pretty clear you're starting with an anti-nuclear bias. Are you sure you're not just seeing a neutral article through the lens of your own bias?
Re:Death rates from energy production per TWh by KirinDave on Tuesday May 14, 2019 @09:07PM (#19915460)
Can you clarify which of the following you mean: "It is biased to point out bias in the writing accompanying this chart?" Or "It is biased to point out the facts regarding the realities of nuclear cleanup" or "It is biased to point out that other rather significant forms of energy generation were left out of this comparison without any justification?"

For the record, I am biased against centralized power grids. I'd rather see decentralized power grids and as a strategy for those I think RTG piles are a safe and well-understood technology for backstopping other forms of small scale renewable power.

Fission is just... it's too expensive for what it is. It centralized too much power with states. It's very dangerous when its safety is inevitably bypassed by industry that could never be held accountable for the tens of thousands of years of human no-go zones that it can produce.

Re:Death rates from energy production per TWh by scrumper on Thursday May 16, 2019 @02:21PM (#19931459)
So your decentralized grid involves large-scale deployment of RTGs? Have you thought about the security implications of that? It makes it massively easier for bad actors to obtain fissile materials.

At least it's feasible to provide high security for centralized nuclear facilities. (In the UK there's even a special police force for this.)

Re:Death rates from energy production per TWh by scrumper on Tuesday May 14, 2019 @10:48AM (#19910046)
Not seeing that, perhaps because I am on mobile. I have a tab with a chart, a tab with a csv, and a tab with the sources.

Edit: or on desktop. Can you post the link to the article you're seeing please?

Re:Death rates from energy production per TWh by KirinDave on Tuesday May 14, 2019 @09:30PM (#19915572)
Re:Death rates from energy production per TWh by mercutio2 on Tuesday May 14, 2019 @11:15AM (#19910331)
I’m not especially in favor of commissioning nuclear plants to be built by the existing nuclear industry, because they’re expensive to start with and nuclear industry cost claims have routinely been wildly optimistic.

But this idea that nuclear power plant disasters cause measurable harm anywhere but Chernobyl is just ignoring every bit of epidemiology I’ve ever seen.

And, even at worst-case-Chernobyl, where they took a terrible design and turned off all the safety features, the idea that negative effects last more than decades is ludicrous. The atoms with short half lives are the dangerous-to-human-health atoms; after decades they’re gone.

I’m with you on centralizing power production having socio-political ramifications, but... we’re going to have a grid any which way. Unless we get Shipstone-level inexpensive batteries, we’re still going to have to maintain an electrical grid.

My anti-nuclear friends hate me for it, but I tend to think if we have any hope of limiting carbon forcing in mid-century, we’re going to need nuclear.

Re:Death rates from energy production per TWh by leereeves on Tuesday May 14, 2019 @11:25AM (#19910430)
Reports are saying that Chernobyl is something of a nature preserve now.

http://www.bbc.com/earth/story/20160421-the-chernobyl-exclus...

Re:Death rates from energy production per TWh by KirinDave on Tuesday May 14, 2019 @11:48AM (#19910627)
A nature preserve where if most mammals go they die in agony and only a most mammals species that can survive do so with reduced lifespans.

Good point. Thanks.

Re:Death rates from energy production per TWh by phonypc on Tuesday May 14, 2019 @12:07PM (#19910797)
"In other words, within 10 years of the disaster, the small mammal populations were apparently showing no ill effects from the radiation."

"There have been a lot of radiobiological studies over the decades to find out what it takes to really damage animal populations, to do some serious reproductive damage. And across most of the exclusion zone, the doses aren't really high enough to have that effect."

Re:Death rates from energy production per TWh by KirinDave on Tuesday May 14, 2019 @09:21PM (#19915524)
I can quote writers talking about scientists too:

> ... research with [Anders Pape Møller & Timothy Mousseau] has shown that voles have higher rates of cataracts, useful populations of bacteria on the wings of birds in the zone are lower, partial albinism among barn swallows, and that cuckoos have become less common, among other findings. Serious mutations, though, happened only right after the accident.

The idea that a 10x spike in population is at all surprising in the wake of removal of humans from the region is silly. Of course short lived animals with large litters would have population spike. Futher, as the Exclusion zone is a 30km diameter circle around the blast. A very large amount of it only sees low sums of radiation, and with the removal of human influence many species will skyrocket.

All this is moot though. You wouldn't go and live there, because you as a human would die within a few years unless you stayed on the very edges and outlying areas of the blast zone. This attempt to minimize the impact of Chernobyl by suggesting that some species managed to find a way to live in the environment is bizarre. You're not defending that generation of reactor design. It's not even clear to me why you want fission when RTG piles are much more practical for anything but the most heavy of industrial use.

Re:Death rates from energy production per TWh by phonypc on Tuesday May 14, 2019 @10:36PM (#19915942)
???

Chernobyl being a place "where if most mammals go they die in agony" is patent nonsense. I quoted from the article linked above your post to suggest as much.

What on earth does RTG have to do with this discussion?

Re:Death rates from energy production per TWh by KirinDave on Wednesday May 15, 2019 @01:27AM (#19916654)
You're quoting contested science and I'm offering a summary of the counter opinion. It is far from a consensus that Chernobyl has been a net good for the animals living there.

As for RTGs, I'm sorry did you lose the plot about power production at the top of this thread?

Re:Death rates from energy production per TWh by KirinDave on Wednesday May 15, 2019 @01:37AM (#19916706)
I think an awful lot of Japanese people have something to say about your definition of harm.
Re:Death rates from energy production per TWh by luk_hol on Tuesday May 14, 2019 @11:46AM (#19910614)
If distributed works I am all for distributed. But distributed does not always work nor is it always a superior option. Imagine we figure out cold fusion. That will probably always be "centralized", but it could be vastly superior to any other power source we can fathom to imagine.

Honestly, I am an anarchist. I detest hierarchy. I don't like centralization. But let us not make a religion out of it. Let us stay rational.

I think nuclear is the safest viable option we have at this moment. It is not perfect, far from it. It also doesn't mean we should stop funding the research of renewable energy and of energy storage. Quite contrary. But let us not fall for wishful thinking --- look at Germany.

Re:Death rates from energy production per TWh by KirinDave on Wednesday May 15, 2019 @01:34AM (#19916691)
> If distributed works I am all for distributed. But distributed does not always work nor is it always a superior option. Imagine we figure out cold fusion. That will probably always be "centralized", but it could be vastly superior to any other power source we can fathom to imagine.

Okay, imagined it. If we need that much power in one place then great. We'll work on it then. But for the majority of individuals, they'll never need close to that level of electricity.

> I think nuclear is the safest viable option we have at this moment.

Based off nothing other than handwavey arguments about how, "Look how this system which has been deployed at a tiny fraction of the scale of the other systems has fewer deaths when we specifically cut out fuel procurement but count atmospheric pollution even if that's difficult to avoid confounding?"

This is not a compelling line of argument. No more so than the "what if we suddenly have a fusion breakthrough won't you want thousands of lines of cabling then?"

> It also doesn't mean we should stop funding the research of renewable energy and of energy storage. Quite contrary. But let us not fall for wishful thinking --- look at Germany.

I don't recall us saying science was bad. Rather, it was, "Concentrating capital on ever larger energy ziggurats is not something that makes sense in 2019."

Sure. Let's look at Germany, where they literally have such an abundance of power they can't migrate their grids to use it fast enough so they pay people to use it? Or how they're now investing in inexpensive and locally sourced storage options because they can power over 90% of their peak demand on a good day?

These are "good problems to have." Certainly better than "How do we shield this drone enough that we can make contact with the melted fuel rods at Fukushima."