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A comment on China’s vast fleet is tipping the balance in the Pacific. Parent comment

Re:China’s vast fleet is tipping the balance in the Pacific by expressrunning on Wednesday May 01, 2019 @08:39PM (#19803300)
Taiwan Can Win a War With China

“One of the central hurdles facing the offensive is surprise. The PLA simply will not have it. The invasion will happen in April or October. Because of the challenges posed by the strait’s weather, a transport fleet can only make it across the strait in one of these two four-week windows.“

“There are only 13 beaches on Taiwan’s western coast that the PLA could possibly land at. Each of these has already been prepared for a potential conflict.”

https://foreignpolicy.com/2018/09/25/taiwan-can-win-a-war-wi...

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Re:China’s vast fleet is tipping the balance in the Pacific by JabavuAdams on Wednesday May 01, 2019 @09:10PM (#19803528)
Assumptions like this have a way of getting countries invaded. They're true until they're not true.
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Re:China’s vast fleet is tipping the balance in the Pacific by steve19 on Wednesday May 01, 2019 @09:22PM (#19803622)
The only assumption that matters is the assumption the USA will defend the country and not look away to prevent a world war. The moment that assumption does not hold true...
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Re:China’s vast fleet is tipping the balance in the Pacific by stcredzero on Wednesday May 01, 2019 @11:40PM (#19804481)
There is a serious proposal for the Mainland Chinese to unilaterally build a civilian tunnel to Taiwan. If the Taiwanese bomb it, the Chinese have a pretext for retaliation. That might be tricky.
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