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Re:U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Inverts for First Time Since 2007 by lisper on Friday March 22, 2019 @08:18PM (#19468153)
> sometimes they're even called risk free

They may be called that, but they aren't. There are at least two risks associated with U.S. government bonds:

1. Inflation can exceed the interest rate on the bond and cause it to lose value when measured in actual purchasing power

2. Political dysfunction could cause the U.S. government to default notwithstanding its ability to print money

(To be fair, #1 is a risk associated with any bond. #2 is peculiar to U.S. government bonds.)

Re:U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Inverts for First Time Since 2007 by refurb on Friday March 22, 2019 @11:41PM (#19468929)
Risk-free is in relation to the risk of getting your money back. Not the risk that the return is lower than inflation.

#2 is true, but extremely unlikely.

Risk-free basically means the lowest possible risk. Not true zero risk.

Re:U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Inverts for First Time Since 2007 by gruez on Friday March 22, 2019 @08:44PM (#19468275)
> #2 is peculiar to U.S. government bonds.)

not really, with private bonds it's replaced with the risk of the company defaulting or declaring bankruptcy.

Re:U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Inverts for First Time Since 2007 by joshuamorton on Friday March 22, 2019 @10:34PM (#19468701)
>2. Political dysfunction could cause the U.S. government to default notwithstanding its ability to print money

This risk is likely also going to be true for the Dollar, so bonds don't carry any more risk than USD in this regard.

Re:U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Inverts for First Time Since 2007 by dragonwriter on Friday March 22, 2019 @10:39PM (#19468719)
> >2. Political dysfunction could cause the U.S. government to default notwithstanding its ability to print money

> This risk is likely also going to be true for the Dollar

It can't be, because it doesn't apply to the currency, which while it is structurally created by creation of debt is not a debt the government is obligated to pay and on which it can fail and default.

> so bonds don't carry any more risk than USD in this regard

Even if there was a default risk in the dollar, bonds necessarily have more risk since they are fully exposed to every risk to the currency they are denominated in and also their own default risk, which even if the currency had such a risk would sit on top of it.

Re:U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Inverts for First Time Since 2007 by Phlarp on Friday March 22, 2019 @11:02PM (#19468798)
Except that if/when political dysfunction does cause a default on the bonds, the currency gets its legs chopped out from under it.
Re:U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Inverts for First Time Since 2007 by buttcoinslol on Saturday March 23, 2019 @01:17AM (#19469166)
Which makes it exceptionally unlikely to happen..

Although Brexit happened, so never say never I guess

Re:U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Inverts for First Time Since 2007 by intrasight on Friday March 22, 2019 @11:13PM (#19468839)
At least we've not returned to the era of "return-free risk"
Re:U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Inverts for First Time Since 2007 by fulafel on Saturday March 23, 2019 @03:05AM (#19469391)
Also exchange rate risk, if the sovereign bond in question is not in your home currency.
Re:U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Inverts for First Time Since 2007 by dqpb on Friday March 22, 2019 @09:49PM (#19468549)
Every investment carries risk in the form of opportunity cost.
Re:U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Inverts for First Time Since 2007 by gjs278 on Saturday March 23, 2019 @12:16AM (#19469038)
I-bonds gain interest based on inflation